I know it's a bit of a cop-out, but I left about a third of the states grey as "insignificant", meaning a trend of less than, maybe, 2%. I'm predicting a Democratic PV win of about 6%.
CA/MD/MA are essentially maxed out for the Democrats, meaning they trend right as they stay at about the same margins of victory for the Democratic candidate. All Plains states except KS trend right, as Trump seems more popular in this region than anywhere else but the GOP's disastrous economic failures in KS (as well as their more educated populace) is enough for KS to trend to the left slightly. IL/NY seem to be trending to the right overall and I don't see any Democratic candidate exceeding Clinton's margins by very much, so I put those two as trending to the right in 2020. I think traditionally Democratic Southern states like KY/TN/AL may have hit their ceiling in 2016 and will begin to revert back towards the Democrats, while I think WY/ND may have also hit their ceilings but are less likely to trend to the left.
