November 2020 and beyond, election madness

[morgankingsley]

Trump under 50% in IN means landslide for Warren nationally, I think. Keep it coming!

Maybe.

Remember, Obama actually won Indiana in 2008, so don't bet on a landslide yet...

Either way, it is going to be a close one. Probably a race decided within five points in popular vote. Like a discussion point earlier though, if any democrat wins the popular vote by 2 percent or less, it's a instant Trump victory. Any Trump popular vote victory at all is a electoral Trump landslide.

[morgankingsley]

Trump under 50% in IN means landslide for Warren nationally, I think. Keep it coming!

Maybe.

Remember, Obama actually won Indiana in 2008, so don't bet on a landslide yet...

Either way, it is going to be a close one. Probably a race decided within five points in popular vote. Like a discussion point earlier though, if any democrat wins the popular vote by 2 percent or less, it's a instant Trump victory. Any Trump popular vote victory at all is a electoral Trump landslide.

How did Trump barely winning Indiana give you an indication that it's going to be a close one?

I said within five points. I felt that was a reasonable margin to say lol. Obama won Indiana by 1 point in 2008. He won by 7 nationwide. If Trump wins Indiana by 3 points, that would indicate a 4 point or 5 point margin. 5 percent isn't a squeaker, I will give you that, but 5 points ain't no landslide either. At least in the popular vote

[morgankingsley]

Trump under 50% in IN means landslide for Warren nationally, I think. Keep it coming!

Maybe.

Remember, Obama actually won Indiana in 2008, so don't bet on a landslide yet...

Either way, it is going to be a close one. Probably a race decided within five points in popular vote. Like a discussion point earlier though, if any democrat wins the popular vote by 2 percent or less, it's a instant Trump victory. Any Trump popular vote victory at all is a electoral Trump landslide.

How did Trump barely winning Indiana give you an indication that it's going to be a close one?

Yeah, Trump barely won the 2016 election but won Indiana by over 19 points. If there's a uniform 16 point swing away from Trump nationwide, then Trump loses the popular vote by 18 and barely holds on to Mississippi. Trump wouldn't even crack 60% in Wyoming.

Warren/Cortez Masto: 56.2%, 425 Electoral Votes
Trump/Pence: 38.1%, 113 Electoral Votes

Your idea of a uniform swing is debunked by his margin in Kentucky. He wins Kentucky by 20 in here, when he won by 32 in real life. That is a 12 percent swing, not a 16 percent swing