IL-14 implications

[MarkWarner08]

No

Huh? Many superdelegates are public officials who care about local politics. While Foster's win is unlikely to push a Hillary support to the Obama camp, it could be enough for an undecided Rep. in a GOP-leaning area  to support Obama.

[MarkWarner08]

No

Huh? Many superdelegates are public officials who care about local politics. While Foster's win is unlikely to push a Hillary support to the Obama camp, it could be enough for an undecided Rep. in a GOP-leaning area  to support Obama.

Are there many more undecided delegates with reason to care about IL-14?

I think at least some will see it that way. Obama did star in an ad for Foster. This might be worth 3-5 House endorsements and maybe a DNC member or two.

[MarkWarner08]

I think this could probably push DCCC chair Chris Van Hollen into the Obama camp.  Obama also carried his Maryland district handily.  I would also look for some other freshmen Dems like possibly Harry Mitchell and Jerry McNerney who are in tough races to go to Obama. 

Harry Mitchell has the tough proposition of being in Arizona this cycle all by itself. McNerney, though... very good chance.

Mitchell will face a tough reelection battles, but he's not in imminent danger of defeat. Never forget that Mitchell is a demigod in Tempe; after he retired as mayor, the city built a statue in his honor.

The GOP field against Mitchell is also quite diffuse and weak, IIRC.

[MarkWarner08]

I think this could probably push DCCC chair Chris Van Hollen into the Obama camp.  Obama also carried his Maryland district handily.  I would also look for some other freshmen Dems like possibly Harry Mitchell and Jerry McNerney who are in tough races to go to Obama. 

Harry Mitchell has the tough proposition of being in Arizona this cycle all by itself. McNerney, though... very good chance.

Mitchell will face a tough reelection battles, but he's not in imminent danger of defeat. Never forget that Mitchell is a demigod in Tempe; after he retired as mayor, the city built a statue in his honor.

The GOP field against Mitchell is also quite diffuse and weak, IIRC.

Oh, I don't think so, but he may not want to be tied too closely to anyone opposing McCain nonetheless.

McCain isn't really that popular in Arizona now. Napolitano is more popular in fact and polls showed she would beat him in a head to head race.

I don't contest that... now. People will get excited about the home candidate. They always do, provided ideologically they fit well.

Which is why you should be worried about State Senate President Tim Bee beating Gabbie Giffords. The McCain effect is probably not enough to help a third tier recruit sink a popular incumbent like Mitchell.