MarkWarner08
Junior Chimp
Posts: 5,812
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« on: August 18, 2006, 10:41:34 AM » |
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Races ranked in order of my spending priorities:
1. MO: McCaskill needs the money in what will likely be the closest Senate race in the country
2. OH: The road to the Senate Majority runs through Ohio
3. MT: Like Missouri, an underfunded Democratic challenger takes on a vulnerable GOP incumbent in a red state.
4. RI: Whitehouse will need some DSCC fudning when Chafee wins the primary. If Laffey wins, this money goes to Tennessee or Virginia.
5. TN: Bob Corker is a tax-raising, flip-flopping, wishy-washy elistist who's faux moderate positions are alienating conservative and moderate voters. If Ford were white and named Smith, he'd be up by 10%. In reality, Ford has run a perfect campaign and deserves the DSCC's help.
Defense:
6. WA: This seat will need funding from the Nat Dems because of McGavick's vast fortune.
7. MN: Kloubacher will need all the help she can get from DSCC.
8. NJ: Downwithdaleft, Roll Call hasd reported that the NRSC and GOP insiders are fretting Kean's huge Cash on Hand disadvantage. Kean's in worse financial shape than McCaskill, and unlike her, he has to run in 2006 as a Republican in a deep blue state.
9. Maryland: Cardin's campaign is picking up momentum, Rales is a non-factor in the primary and Steele's calling Bush his "home boy." This seat goes way down my list.
One long shot:
10: I'd put some money into Virginia to help Webb pull off an upset.
Where's Michigan, Nebraska, Nevada and Arizona? Stabenow and Nelson will not lose this year and Carter and Pederson can't win.
I've omitted Pennsylvania because I believe that Bob Casey will pull this race off by 5%. Spending money here would be akin to Bush's decision to spend dough in Califronia in 2000.
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