🇩🇪 1st anniversary of the Ampel coalition 🚦

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Exactly one year ago, the 20th German Bundestag elected Olaf Scholz the 9th chancellor of the Federal Republic of Germany, two days after the SPD, the Greens and the FDP precipitately singed their ill-considered coalition agreement.
Subsequent to Olaf's swearing-in, his 16 ministers - the same number of portfolios for either gender - took their oaths of office.
One minister has already been replaced after she has had several citizens on her conscience thanks to her utter failure as a state minister of RLP. Of course, as was expected, none of our German left-wing members related that incident to us. (Well, Astatine actually did, but he refused to explicitly mention her name.)
Vice-Chancellor Robert Habeck learnt the hard way what realpolitik really means once he was forced to kowtow to despots. Foreign Minister ACAB now has to affect solidarity with the Iranian women despite having agitated for sharia for decades. Omid Nouripour and Mrs. Doppelwumms supported ecoterrorist groups such as Last Generation, Extinction Rebellion, Fridays for Future prior to the election, now they have to pretend to disavow any connection with them.
Furthermore, the FDP - to Atlas' amazement - turned out to be a right-liberal and neoliberal party. Who knew?
They had to learn to ditch their brand essence, the black zero™. Plus, Querdenker Kubicki with his Trumpish manner acts as a harassing fire thwarting the smooth running of the governmental workflow.
The only point of intersection between those three parties with irreconcilable positions is not even an realizable goal as international law frustrates that one common ambition.

In order to mark this festive occasion, each and every siren throughout the country will be wailing at eleven o'clock sharp.

Outcome of the 2021 federal election:



Latest poll:

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Considering the tough climate, four traffic lights.

Do you think the coalition will endure over the whole legislative term?

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I instinctively said No because of how disparate the coalition seemed. But German political culture emphasizes stability and I can't think of any occasion over the past thirty years that a German federal governing coalition broke up before the four years was up. So I've changed my mind.

Well, Schröder's coalition broke up in 2005, one year before the regular elections. The reason for that was his sheer unpopularity owing to his neoliberal Hartz reforms, which led to his SPD losing one state election after another, thus losing the majority in the Bundesrat.

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I don't think that really counts, right? The coalition was SPD-Green, and it's not like the Greens pulling their support brought about the end of the government. It was Schroder deciding to call an election early, though German methods.

Ah, now I get it. Yes, the red-green coalition did not break up in the strict sense of the word, unlike the red-yellow Schmidt coalition.

But I wonder if the upcoming state election results could trigger a kneejerk reaction from the FDP.
For the SPD things look black, too; they are likely to lose the Red City Hall to the Greens or even to the CDU after the snap election. Moreover, the polls for the 2023 Bavarian state election even threaten an elimination of the SPD from a state parliament for the first time in the history of the FRG. Should that really happen, Scholz is definitely going to propose a vote of confidence.