Party ID with leaners in Battleground States(2018 Fox Voter Analysis Survey)

[Annatar]

These numbers look a lot better for the GOP then the Edison Research Polls that don't assign leaner's and just put them into the independent category. The numbers look almost to good for the GOP I dare say, in PA, the CNN exit poll was 35% GOP, 42% Dem, this survey has GOP 45 to 44 with leaner's. In MI, CNN exit polls was 31% GOP, 39% Dem, Fox News survey has it 43% GOP to 42% Dem. The only way to harmonise the 2 results would be if an overwhelming majority of independents lean Republican, if that is the case, and these figures are reflected in 2020, Trump is pretty heavily favoured to win.

[Annatar]

I find it interesting how the Fox News Voter Survey has a much more heavy republican view of the electorate yet has Trump's approval being lower in virtually every state vs the Edison Polls, overall I think Edison is more correct, if you just take the cross tabs of the Fox News survey, you end up with the Dems wining by 6.7%, whereas the Edison poll work out to a 8.2% Dem win which is closer to the real margin, also Fox News has White Evangelicals at 22% of the vote which seems implausible, White Evangelicals were 26% in 2008, 26% in 2012, 26% in 2016 and in a midterm where turnout was around 120 million, they would likely have been 26% again as the Edison polls show.

[Annatar]

I find it interesting how the Fox News Voter Survey has a much more heavy republican view of the electorate yet has Trump's approval being lower in virtually every state vs the Edison Polls, overall I think Edison is more correct, if you just take the cross tabs of the Fox News survey, you end up with the Dems wining by 6.7%, whereas the Edison poll work out to a 8.2% Dem win which is closer to the real margin, also Fox News has White Evangelicals at 22% of the vote which seems implausible, White Evangelicals were 26% in 2008, 26% in 2012, 26% in 2016 and in a midterm where turnout was around 120 million, they would likely have been 26% again as the Edison polls show.

I don't think so.

Fox News Voter Analysis
Nation
             Total
Men         48%  Dem 45%  Rep 49%
Women   52%   Dem 55%  Rep 39%

Total  Dem 50.2%  Rep 43.8%

and fox news analysis is about Sen/Gov Race.
Not about House Race.

Fair enough.