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« on: April 21, 2018, 09:29:13 PM » |
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It was in the last few days that I thought not only was Clinton in danger of losing but was probably going to lose, this was due to the fact that it had became clear by Nov 7 that Trump was outperforming Romney in the early vote in North Carolina and Florida and had a comfortable lead in the polls on Ohio. Thus he had all 3 states effectively locked up.
In addition, what really made me think Clinton was in deep trouble were the Pennsylvania polls, a Gravis poll conducted Nov 1-2 had Clinton +2 in PA, a Harper poll done Nov 2-3 had a tie, and a Trafalgar poll done Nov 3-5 had Trump +1. All of the polls that were conducted solely in November either had a tight race or Trump up, that was what made me think he was probably going to flip PA and win, it still astounds me that the media was not paying attention to these polls, the media should have given a lot more attention to the fact that all the polls done in Nov in PA showed basically a 50/50 race with all the movement going in Trumps favor.
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