Alabama Megathread: Bombshell allegations (user search)
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  Alabama Megathread: Bombshell allegations (search mode)
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Author Topic: Alabama Megathread: Bombshell allegations  (Read 162120 times)
mcmikk
thealmightypiplup
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« on: August 12, 2017, 11:24:58 PM »

Do you guys think that if Doug Jones and Roy Moore emerge as the nominees, this race could end up somewhat resembling Massachusetts 2010? It would give Democrats a pickup that they could hold just long enough that they have a slightly less steep hill to climb in 2018, and when they likely lose the seat in 2020, they will have picked up seats elsewhere.

The early polls(not that they're all that telling at this point in time) show it surprisingly close(at least for Alabama) and I think this could end up like a MA 2010 redux.
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mcmikk
thealmightypiplup
Jr. Member
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Posts: 681


« Reply #1 on: August 13, 2017, 08:38:07 AM »

Do you guys think that if Doug Jones and Roy Moore emerge as the nominees, this race could end up somewhat resembling Massachusetts 2010? It would give Democrats a pickup that they could hold just long enough that they have a slightly less steep hill to climb in 2018, and when they likely lose the seat in 2020, they will have picked up seats elsewhere.

The early polls(not that they're all that telling at this point in time) show it surprisingly close(at least for Alabama) and I think this could end up like a MA 2010 redux.

Massachusetts is more flexible in elections downballot than olympic gymnasts. Meanwhile, Alabama makes this guy look flexible by comparison:


lol, true. I feel like blue states in general are more open to electing conservatives/Republicans than vice-versa.
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mcmikk
thealmightypiplup
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Posts: 681


« Reply #2 on: August 15, 2017, 09:41:08 PM »

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mcmikk
thealmightypiplup
Jr. Member
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Posts: 681


« Reply #3 on: August 16, 2017, 11:51:34 AM »

Didn't Brown get like 20% of Republicans though (in 2010)? That's double the normal 10% crossover on either side.
You mean Democrats?
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mcmikk
thealmightypiplup
Jr. Member
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Posts: 681


« Reply #4 on: September 27, 2017, 04:40:34 PM »

A Strange internal poll found that McConnell's favorability was just 10% among AL Republicans.

https://twitter.com/arogdc/status/913119533094903810

If Jones could somehow tie Moore to McConnell and the Republican establishment, he could stand to gain bigly.

Except that'll be very difficult because of Luther Strange.

The best I can do is tie Moore to the likes of Cruz and Paul, and tie THEM to McConnell. As a citation, use the skinny repeal vote. The message being that no matter how outsidery they seem, in the end they're going to be footsoldiers for McConnell.

Or make an argument that Jones would be much more likely to buck his party leadership, work in the center, and reach across the isle. IDK how good Manchin's name recognition is in AL, but we could have him campaign for Jones, on the basis that he's also a conservative dem in a red state who seems to be doing a good job
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mcmikk
thealmightypiplup
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Posts: 681


« Reply #5 on: November 10, 2017, 01:15:33 AM »

I think we all know what this means...

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