IL-3 Dem Primary: Election Day! (user search)
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  IL-3 Dem Primary: Election Day! (search mode)
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Author Topic: IL-3 Dem Primary: Election Day!  (Read 82138 times)
Idaho Conservative
BWP Conservative
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,234
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.00, S: 6.00

« on: November 27, 2017, 01:27:36 AM »

I hope Lipinski wins.  He is actually one of the few Democrats I have a positive opinion of. 
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Idaho Conservative
BWP Conservative
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,234
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.00, S: 6.00

« Reply #1 on: November 29, 2017, 11:39:05 PM »

HRC should endorse anyone but Lipinski, as long as the Republican doesn’t support an anti-gay marriage amendment.
why?
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Idaho Conservative
BWP Conservative
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,234
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.00, S: 6.00

« Reply #2 on: December 12, 2017, 12:57:25 AM »

HRC should endorse anyone but Lipinski, as long as the Republican doesn’t support an anti-gay marriage amendment.
why?

Your signature is actually a great argument for opposing Lipinski.
Ha Ha. The reason I endorsed him is because I generally think Lipinski is a good guy who is willing to vote against his party occasionally.  I recognize the is the ideological as well as the party outlier in my list, but I like how he is pro life, supports religious freedom, and is more moderate on this fiscal issues.  If D's want to be competitive in places like W. VA or IA again, they will need to run candidates like Lipinski.
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Idaho Conservative
BWP Conservative
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,234
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.00, S: 6.00

« Reply #3 on: May 01, 2018, 03:26:26 AM »

So glad that people like Lipinski are mostly dying off every single year.

Bigoted Dan lives to fight another day.
not really dying off.  on the poll Lipinski led with 18-45 yo.  One possibility is that the millennials have more minorities which on the poll leaned Lipinski.  I wonder why Newman did so well with whites but not minorities?
https://patch.com/illinois/oaklawn/lipinski-newman-statistical-dead-heat-democratic-primary
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Idaho Conservative
BWP Conservative
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,234
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.00, S: 6.00

« Reply #4 on: May 01, 2018, 06:26:14 PM »

So glad that people like Lipinski are mostly dying off every single year.

Bigoted Dan lives to fight another day.
not really dying off.  on the poll Lipinski led with 18-45 yo.  One possibility is that the millennials have more minorities which on the poll leaned Lipinski.  I wonder why Newman did so well with whites but not minorities?
https://patch.com/illinois/oaklawn/lipinski-newman-statistical-dead-heat-democratic-primary

Or maybe the poll is not gospel given it was a district poll.
the poll is probably pretty accurate, since it was just 1 point off from the actual results.  The results by race don't really surprise me.  Lipinski's base is probably P.O.C. as well as Polish and Irish people in SW Cook county while Newman's base is white liberals in the suburbs.  It appears that only boomers supported Newman. 
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Idaho Conservative
BWP Conservative
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,234
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.00, S: 6.00

« Reply #5 on: May 01, 2018, 07:10:40 PM »

yeah.  my guess in this district there is a divide between white liberals in the suburbs and working class (black, latino, polish, irish) in the city.  While I am actually a white suburbanite, I would have voted for Lipinski in the primary.  I have very little in common with white liberals.  They are just obsessed with abortion, passing more gun control, and forcing bakers to bake gay cakes. 
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Idaho Conservative
BWP Conservative
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,234
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.00, S: 6.00

« Reply #6 on: May 01, 2018, 07:26:46 PM »

IL-03 is a culturally conservative seat and their congressman is a reflection of that.
The registered Democrats in the seat have a different view of what makes someone a Democrat than, say, rich white liberals on the North Shore.

Any reason why IL-03 swung to Clinton then when every other culturally conservative area swung to Trump?
The fact it's mostly made up of suburbs?
but trump did better the suburbs.  My guess is that while the suburbs are overall more conservative, democrats in the suburbs are probably to the left (at least socially) to those in the city.
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