TX SEN: Cruz +14 (CB Polling)

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Safe Republican.

A 14 point lead 11 months before the election and with a questionable pollster is safe? Ok.

I'd put the race at Likely R for now, but O'Rourke can put up a real fight if the national environment is as favorable to Democrats as we're all expecting it to be.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Cruz won by 16.1% in 2012 and he wasn't an incumbent. 14% is a bit much but a result like 53% Cruz 45% O'Rourke is plausible.

This. I think Cruz will win by 5-10%, but we'll just have to wait and see.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

There's this tweet from 28 minutes before.

"Democrat @GDouglasJones on verge of clinching #ALSEN race tomorrow."

https://twitter.com/CBPolling/status/940559922856693760

The odd thing is that it includes a URL that says Roy Moore built a significant lead, but then redirects to that link.

Maybe they just decided that was a dumb URL and renamed it.

If they were really sneaky, they could have deleted tweets and deleted webpages.

Anyways, while they could be the next Overtime, Griffin's analysis is inconclusive.

Oops. I take back my earlier comment. CB polling is real therefore there Texas poll is real therefore blue wave narrative is BTFO.

I can't wait to see your reaction on November 9th, 2018.