How would you rate TX-Sen?

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Likely Cruz.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

SAFE R. Maybe Likely but if it’s likely then it’s closer to safe than lean. Drawing conclusions from NOVA or the Alabama Senate race where the republican was a literal pedophile is a flimsy argument. Dems will focus on Arizona, Nevada, and defense.

You forgot the presidential race, where Republicans underperformed badly in the suburbs as well. Cruz is hardly someone with a lot of crossover appeal, and I wouldn't be surprised if the DSCC has dirt on him.

Trump only won TX by 9 points, and Republicans just lost a Senate race in a state he won by 28

The idea that since Alabama is much redder than Texas and Jones managed to win there, O'Rourke might beat Cruz, is pretty dumb. Again, Moore was an accused pedophile. Cruz is not.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

The idea that since Alabama is much redder than Texas and Jones managed to win there, O'Rourke might beat Cruz, is pretty dumb.

The trends we've seen in GA/TX/VA/CO/etc. in 2016 and this year in VA/AL/PA are already very much favoring Democrats. Trump is even more unpopular in TX than he is in AL (among the electorate that turned out yesterday, it's only a 48/48 approve/disapprove split), and TX Republicans are relying on strong support from the same areas that are currently rebelling against Trump and the GOP.

I'm not saying Texas isn't trending blue, I'm just taking issue with that argument in particular. Cruz could very well lose, but just saying that he'll lose because Jones won in a much redder state than the one Cruz represents tells us nothing.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Likely R, with the caveat that I need to see more polls to get a better sense of where the race stands.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Would O'Rourke do better with Lupe Valdez or Andrew White as the Democratic nominee for Governor?

Probably Valdez, she appears to be a stronger candidate than White, at least on paper.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Lean D. Cowboy Rockstar Kennedy will pull the rug out from under the bathrobe bater.