Although very unlikely to emerge within the next years, how might a path to 270 EVs look like for centrist third party?
Here is my suggestion for an open 2024 election (in 2020, Donald Trump defeats Elizabeth Warren/Julian Castro in the electoral college but loses the PV again by about 1.2%).
✓ Businessman Richard Knox (Moderate-WA)/General John Martinez (Moderate-TX): ~ 280 EVs.; 40.9%*
Senator Cory Booker (D-NJ)/Governor Gwen Graham (D-FL): ~ 160 EVs.; 30.3%
Vice President Mike Pence (R-IN)/Senator Tim Scott (R-SC).; ~ 100 EVs.; 27.3%
* fictional characters
What would this parties path to victory look like on the county level?