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June 06, 2024, 02:36:40 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
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Author Topic: Post Random Maps Here 2.0.  (Read 212309 times)
America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
United States


« Reply #125 on: April 01, 2018, 04:12:32 PM »

Uniform Shift 1: '12-'16



Hillary Clinton/Elizabeth Warren: 272 EV, 49% pv
Donald Trump/Chris Christie: 266 EV, 47% pv

Uniform Shift 2: '08-'12



Obama/Biden: 285 EV, 50% pv
Romney/Ryan: 253 EV, 46% pv

Uniform Shift 3: '04-'08



Obama/Biden: 405 EV, 53% pv
McCain/Lieberman: 133 EV, 46% pv

Uniform Shift 4: 2000-2004



Bush/Cheney: 303 EV, 50% pv
Kerry/Dean: 235 EV, 48.5% pv
The country shifted roughly 10% D from 2004-'08, but Kerry lost Tennessee by 14% in 2004... How does Obama win it here?
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
United States


« Reply #126 on: April 01, 2018, 05:48:49 PM »

Uniform Shift 1: '12-'16



Hillary Clinton/Elizabeth Warren: 272 EV, 49% pv
Donald Trump/Chris Christie: 266 EV, 47% pv

Uniform Shift 2: '08-'12



Obama/Biden: 285 EV, 50% pv
Romney/Ryan: 253 EV, 46% pv

Uniform Shift 3: '04-'08



Obama/Biden: 405 EV, 53% pv
McCain/Lieberman: 133 EV, 46% pv

Uniform Shift 4: 2000-2004



Bush/Cheney: 303 EV, 50% pv
Kerry/Dean: 235 EV, 48.5% pv
The country shifted roughly 10% D from 2004-'08, but Kerry lost Tennessee by 14% in 2004... How does Obama win it here?

The country shifted 8 points from 1R (roughly)- 7 D, I simply added 8 to the D column and took 8 away from the R column. This result is that Tennessee is won by Obama by 2 points.

So the result is that Obama wins every state that Kerry lost by 16% or less, right? Also Bush won the PV by 2.5% in 2004.
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
United States


« Reply #127 on: April 02, 2018, 10:20:45 AM »

Seems about right. I don't see why Harris wins Rhode Island though.
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
United States


« Reply #128 on: April 03, 2018, 04:34:19 PM »


President Roy Moore R- Alabama/ Vice President Steve Bannon R- Virginia 455 Electoral Votes 57% Popular Vote
Governor J.B Pritzker D- Illinois- / Congressman Anthony Brown D- Maryland 83 Electorl Votes 39% Popular Vote
Pritzker's horrible, but since he's not a pedo I'm gonna have to say he'd still crush Moore.
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
United States


« Reply #129 on: April 04, 2018, 02:58:04 PM »

Gordan Douglas Jones (D-AL) - 432 ✓
Roy Stewart Moore (R-AL) - 106


This is more accurate IMO:



Moore only wins Oklahoma and the only states that are really competitive would be Alabama, Wyoming, and Idaho. Jones wins every state other than those 4 by double digits.
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
United States


« Reply #130 on: April 04, 2018, 07:32:54 PM »

Gordan Douglas Jones (D-AL) - 470 ✓
Roy Stewart Moore (R-AL) - 58


This is more accurate IMO:



Moore only wins Oklahoma and the only states that are really competitive would be Alabama, Wyoming, and Idaho. Jones wins every state other than those 4 by double digits.

That landslide doesn't look that accurate, to be honest. In Alabama, only a percentile separated the two in December, and that's mostly due to low Republican turnout. There's no way in hell that that would happen again, let alone to Reagan '84 or Nixon '72 levels.

Also, I screwed up Texas like an idiot. I meant to make it Dem >60%, but I was an idiot who forgot to change the percentile, and accidentally mistook Atlas blue with modern blue for a sec. Tongue
You may be right, but at the very least, Moore isn't winning Utah, South Carolina, Montana, North Dakota.
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
United States


« Reply #131 on: April 06, 2018, 03:35:59 PM »

Nationwide Recreational Marijuana Legalization referendum

Yes 434 63%
No  124 37%

made this of a combination of results from measures and poll results

Why would it pass with over 70% in Indiana?
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
United States


« Reply #132 on: April 06, 2018, 07:19:17 PM »

Nationwide Recreational Marijuana Legalization referendum

Yes 434 63%
No  124 37%

made this of a combination of results from measures and poll results

Why would it pass with over 70% in Indiana?
Im not sure but thats what the polling indicates
That's quite surprising, I don't really think of Indiana as a socially libertarian state.
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
United States


« Reply #133 on: April 08, 2018, 03:06:41 PM »

A scenario where Bill Clinton doesn't get 270 electoral votes, so the vote goes to the House.

For President, 1992

Gov. William J. Clinton (D-AR) - 258
Pres. George H.W. Bush (R-TX) - 183
H. Ross Perot (I-TX) - 97

Please excuse me if this map is crap. This scenario is very unlikely to happen, as Ross Perot was lucky to even get 18.9% of the popular vote in real life as a 3rd party candidate, but whatever.
Iowa and California going for Perot seems pretty random.
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
United States


« Reply #134 on: April 10, 2018, 10:45:23 AM »

My #take on the above contest


Harris/Bullock
Ryan/Pence
Montana won't flip before Georgia even with Bullock on the bottom of the ticket.
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
United States


« Reply #135 on: April 14, 2018, 09:08:00 PM »


Modern analogue to 1924?
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
United States


« Reply #136 on: April 25, 2018, 11:10:44 AM »


Hillary Rodham Clinton
Donald J. Trump
Utah should probably be D>30
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
United States


« Reply #137 on: April 25, 2018, 02:25:19 PM »

2016

Donald Trump (D-NY)/Mike Pence (D-IN) 318 EVs
Hillary Clinton (R-NY)/Tim Kaine (R-VA) 220 EVs
lol what? If Trump ran as a Democrat he wouldn't be winning Wyoming or Idaho, and probably not Alabama or Oklahoma either.
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