Post-Realignment Electoral Map?

[Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner]

Montana is probably the only Interior Plains state that has a populist tradition; the rest of the region (Dakotas, Idaho, Kansas, Utah, etc.) haven't had this tradition unless you're talking WJB going back over 100 years. Since 1964, they've all voted for the GOP consistently (minus MT). And Hispanic growth isn't concentrated in any of those states.

A Bernie style economically populist Democratic Party vs a more moderate technocratic GOP would see most of the Interior Plains (with the possible exception of MT) remain reliably Republican in such a scenario.

The biggest swings from the current map that this new alignment would create would be seen in the Northeast and Appalachia.

For the democrats to realign the interior plains, they'd need to go in a much more libertarian direction.

[Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner]

That's not a realignment.

[Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner]

This is what I think a even Presidential Election map will look like in the 2030s.

Basically, the trends of 2016 continue, with Republicans flipping the entire Midwest except Illinois (which will remain Safe Democratic, due to the fact that heavily Democratic Chicago is holding its population while heavily Republican downstate Illinois is shrinking rapidly), while Democrats will turn Arizona, Florida, and North Carolina into true Tossups due to their diversifying populations (right now Florida, Arizona, and North Carolina Lean Republican). However Texas and Georgia will still be Lean Republican states (their Likely Republican today), which along with the flipping of the entire Midwest except Illinois, will keep Republicans competitive at the presidential level much longer then expected. Meanwhile, the Northeast (except New Hampshire, Maine, and Pennsylvania) and West Coast will remain Safe Democratic and states such as Virginia, Colorado, Nevada, and New Mexico will solidify their Democratic leans. Overall, this future electoral map is not that great for Democrats because even with the diversification of the Sun Belt they still won't flip Texas and Georgia (due to their staunchly Conservative White populations), and because of them losing the ability to win Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, New Hampshire, Maine, Ohio, and Iowa due to Uneducated Whites trending even more Republican (they'll be voting 80-20 Republican by then while their educated counterparts will be voting 50-50), their only route to victory will be sweeping the three Tossup states of Arizona, Florida, and North Carolina with high Nonwhite turnout, and if they fail to do that they'll probably be winning the popular vote and losing the electoral collage a lot.

That isn't a realignment.

[Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner]

Just to clarify, all of you do realize the prompt was "Realignment", not "Extrapolate the 2016 trends one election into the future?". This is an actual realignment.  

[Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner]

Just to clarify, all of you do realize the prompt was "Realignment", not "Extrapolate the 2016 trends one election into the future?". This is an actual realignment.  

What could cause this?

This is my guess at the future of Between Two Majorities. Democrats go populist left, and the gop shifts to a libertarian centrism.

[Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner]

Just to clarify, all of you do realize the prompt was "Realignment", not "Extrapolate the 2016 trends one election into the future?". This is an actual realignment.  

What could cause this?

This is my guess at the future of Between Two Majorities. Democrats go populist left, and the gop shifts to a libertarian centrism.

Yes, this looks like religious left Dems with a social justice streak vs. libertarian GOP with a technocratic streak.  I'm assuming FL, NY, GA, and TN are swing states?  It also looks like climate change has become a top tier issue with the depopulation of the gulf coast and the extra EVs in the northwest states.

Correct on all counts.