Congressional Special Elections Results Thread (OLD, PLEASE UNSTICKY)

[Cactus Jack]

Via DecisionDeskHQ

John Curtis (Republican)    39.1%   5,341
Tanner Ainge (Republican)    31.8%   4,339
Chris Herrod (Republican)    29.1%   3,969

I'll be able to sleep well tonight if that nationalist maniac stays in third place.

[Cactus Jack]

I just googled this Curtis guy and found a little blurb on him.

Mayor of Provo. During his last few years in office, He averaged an approval rating of 93%.

Fmr. head of the Democratic Party in Utah.

I think the opinions of his constituents matter more than yours, champ.

[Cactus Jack]

John Curtis is the quintessential Utah candidate -- well liked, smart, Republican, Business Administration, six kids -- so I expect him to breeze right by. He's what Utah elects all the time and he's paid the dues to do it.

Basically. I'm starting to think that Mike Lee was a cosmic fluke.

[Cactus Jack]

It's rare that you actually upgrade during a GOP primary. Curtis seems a marked improvement over Chaffetz

He's unarguably a better human being, if nothing else.

[Cactus Jack]

  In terms of some kind of emerging Democratic wave, shouldn't Allen's numbers be higher than 26%, or were some of the third party candidates running to the left of center?

This is rural Utah we're talking about, and Curtis, at least from what I understand, is wildly beloved in Provo and in the metropolitan areas of UT-03.

[Cactus Jack]

A bullet-points summary of the Republican primary for those who don't know and/or have an interest, sticking to the three most prominent candidates:

• Debbie Lesko: The "sane" choice despite her loyalty to the Branch Trumpidian. An idiot, but nuanced enough to avoid trouble and not turn the GE into another PA-18.
• Steve Montenegro: Insane. Kooky-dukes, in the words of Dwayne Johnson. Arpaio's guy. Already smacked with one scandal before the election had even really started, this guy is a walking explosion in a skeleton factory.
• Bob Stump: An opportunistic "college Ayn Randian" type who changed his name to cash in on former Congressman Bob Stump. No chance in Hell, but he's noteworthy for being the only major candidate to loathe Trump.

I'm putting my money on Montenegro winning the primary, because the AZGOP has lost absolutely all control in its collective life.

[Cactus Jack]

Officially eating my hat. I thought for sure the dead-out most bats**t candidate would take it.

[Cactus Jack]

AZ-08 is no longer considered safe R, only likely R. That is good news in a district that is R+13.

I don't see any way the Dem wins this other than a completely unexpected scandal.

Well, Lesko is sort of an idiot. A repeat of Saccone's legendary fumble isn't out of the question here.