2024 South Korean legislative election (April 10th)

[Oryxslayer]

DPK and allies may win the 2/3rds supermajority required to impeach the president or revise the constitution.

Question by someone who doesn't follow SK politics as much as many other countries: how realistic is this possibility if the DPK gets 2/3s? Like every single approval poll finds the President in the low 30s and strong disapproval above 50. It's not like people are leaping to defend him. However,  from what I can tell, this is just cause of inflation, foreign policy errors, and taking unpopular positions on domestic issues. Nothing even comparable to Park, who by example kinda sets the bar for impeachment.

[Oryxslayer]

Exit poll by FPTP district.  For sure does not match results so far but most likely that is result of count bias

Notably this is the Seoul region under that Exit Poll. Yes there are quite a few close races, but they are all tipped towards the DPK. which leads to Gagnam standing out like a blemish. Someone had questions about this a few days ago so I figured it would be nice to follow up.

[Oryxslayer]

Chosun right now has it in turns of FPTP leads

DPK      148
PPP       102
PP            1
NFP          1
NRP          1
Ind           1 (looks like pro-DPK)

Slow convergence toward exit polls

As tabulation crosses 50%, the DPK lead big on the FPTP seats, increasing the numbers to 155 - 95

[Oryxslayer]

With over 99% of the vote tabulated, this may be the final FPTP breakdown:

DPK: 161
PPP 90
NFP 1
NRP 1  
PP/indie 1

Country Overall:



Seoul Region:

[Oryxslayer]

What's with that little PPP cluster in the middle of Seoul?

Go back a few pages for a discussion on this very topic. TL:DR: Gagnam money.