GA-SEN 2020 Class II Megathread (Perdue inc.)

[Oryxslayer]

What is with GA always getting these megathreads?

Because we're a fascinating state, of course.

Your just being peachy

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/ossoff/status/1171242429468631040

https://twitter.com/bluestein/status/1171241883995127811

He will not be facing Handel again. Wonder why he choose to go against Teresa Tomlinson instead of thee open seat...perhaps Mcbath is entering? Also, Ossoff gets John Lewis's endorsement.

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/NilesGApol/status/1221583477491019778

Terry's exit likely benefits Ossoff.

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/bluestein/status/1223343643811106816

Anyway, here's everyones cash. Ossoff leads.

[Oryxslayer]

Considering there is possibly hundreds of thousands of votes still out, it will also look embarrassing for Tomlinson if Ossoff ends up at 50% when all is said & done

There are some 40 Precincts left in the DeKalb and 20 in Fulton and Ossoff needs a Net Gain of 30K to 50K to avoid a Runoff.

DeKalb has counted 0 absentee votes (out of a bit over 100k) and Fulton is missing a large amount of their mail-in absentee votes.

I'd expect Ossoff to avoid a runoff pretty easily at this rate, unless some counties are lumping in absentee mail-in vote with election day vote for whatever reason.

Yes, this is election week. The increase in absentee voting means that most counties have not had the time to process these ballots yet - reminder they took a long time with 10x fewer ballots in 2018 which dragged out the count. The question if if the absentee ballots put Ossoff over. These absentee ballots could be more white than the day vote, since educated liberals are more likely to use the system. This scenario probably puts Ossoff over. If the absentees match the e-day demos, then Ossoff probably doesn't gain enough, but still goes up since urban areas have more people visibly concerned about corona.

[Oryxslayer]

This is JUST Dekalb-

https://twitter.com/ByTylerEstep/status/1270758645534527488

These are not all dems btw. If you go back a bit in the statewide GA thread you will find large county breakdowns of the mail ballots by partisanship. In general it's what you expect with big dem leads in the blue metro counties, but there is some signs of educated liberals using the system, since the dem numbers were good in the red counties and not just the blue ones.

[Oryxslayer]

NYTimes has Ossoff at 50.01% now.

Politico has him at 50.0.

Jon Ossoff             420,723    50.0%

Teresa Tomlinson   128,558   15.3%

Sarah Riggs Amico   107,370   12.8%

It also has 89% (all other metro Atlanta counties were 98% or greater) of precincts reporting in DeKalb, which can only be good for Ossoff since he's currently up 54.7% to 15.2% there.

The exact math for these votes is 50.013136% Ossoff right now. Sites round.

[Oryxslayer]

AP has called it for Ossoff, per this AJC article.

So has NYT and DDHQ. Tomlinson has a buffet of crow to eat whenever she speaks again.

[Oryxslayer]

It really was just a media market battle.

[Oryxslayer]

Am I wrong in assuming that runoffs and Jim Crow are related?

My dad told me when I was little that, in the deep south, if you notice anything weird in literally any sphere (government, infrastructure, sports, education, culture), the answer is always race. Hasn't been wrong yet.

That said, some of it was put in place after the end of Jim Crow when the south had to bend the new rules to maintain white dixicratic rule, rather than relics of the era when the rules guaranteed racial segregation.