Oryxslayer
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Posts: 11,001
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« on: April 03, 2018, 05:52:41 AM » |
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Nope. Canova got 20k votes in the primary in 2016, and that was when he was a semi-national figure, and fully backed by the Sanders wing. He now lacks any cash, or national presence to capitalize on. Him going indie is an effective way of saying "I was going to loose the primary, much worse then in 2016." Oh, and this is a D+11 seat. Oh, and many of those D voters are the kind who want to send a message to Trump, minorities and jews. Oh, and the fact that independents always loose votes down the stretch as people realize they are floundering. Face it, Canova would be lucky to come near 10% and probably ends up way below the relevance threshold.
A great example of this is MI-11 2016. In 2014, the sub-par incumbent was ousted in the primary. In 2016, he decided to got at the seat as an indie. Guess what he got against Trott as a former incumbent? 4%.
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