PragmaticPopulist
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,236
Political Matrix E: -7.61, S: -5.57
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« on: April 11, 2018, 10:41:04 AM » |
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Agree with FL-15 and KS-02; While Rs have a good chance of holding FL-15 at the moment, it has a history of being close in presidential elections. Also, it seems to hold similar characteristics to other suburban districts that might have voted for Trump, but are now swinging towards the Democrats, like the State house Special election in Sarasota earlier this year.
KS-02 is now the definition of a tossup. There have been a few polls showing a close race, with Paul Davis narrowly leading in some cases.
WI-01 I don't agree with, as while Obama did carry the current version in 2008, that was when Wisconsin was swinging hard to the left in the midst of a recession. This district contains places that historically have been quite R, including part of Waukesha. I would rate it Leans R right now.
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