PragmaticPopulist
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,236
Political Matrix E: -7.61, S: -5.57
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« on: December 05, 2017, 12:34:36 PM » |
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« edited: December 06, 2017, 08:14:12 AM by PragmaticPopulist »
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Using Castro's system, which I really like, here's my predictions. It's hard at this time to predict the outcome of all the races, but there's a few I can give my best guess on:
Tier 1 FL-27
Tier 2 AZ-02 CA-49 CA-10 CA-15 VA-10
Tier 3 FL-26 IA-01 MI-11 MN-02 NE-02 NJ-02 NY-19 NY-22 TX-23 WA-08
Tier 4 CA-21 CA-39 CA-45 CA-48* CO-06 IL-06 IL-12 ME-02 MN-03 PA-07 PA-15 TX-07
*If Rohrabacher retires or is indicted by Mueller, CA-48 goes to Tier 2
Tier 5 IL-13 IL-14 IA-03 KS-02 KS-03 NJ-07 NJ-11 PA-06 TX-32 UT-04 VA-02
Tier 6 FL-18 FL-25 GA-06 KY-06 MI-08 MT-AL NJ-03 NM-02 NY-01 OH-01 PA-16 VA-05 VA-07
Tier 7 These flip in a Democratic tidal wave or a circumstance that is unique to the race CO-03 FL-06 GA-07 IN-02 MI-01 MI-07 NY-02* NY-21 NY-23 NC-02 NC-09 NC-13 OH-10** OH-14 PA-18 TX-21 TX-24 WA-03 WA-05 WV-02 WV-03 WI-01 WI-08
*King is speculated to be retiring, but waiting until the filing deadline passes so that his daughter can be chosen at a convention. If this happens, NY-02 goes to Tier 4 **Turner is speculated to also be considering retirement, in which case OH-10 would go to tier 5
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