VA-GOV 2017: Utter Panic and Doom (General election: Nov 7th) (user search)
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  VA-GOV 2017: Utter Panic and Doom (General election: Nov 7th) (search mode)
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Author Topic: VA-GOV 2017: Utter Panic and Doom (General election: Nov 7th)  (Read 166555 times)
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Not_Madigan
YaBB God
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Posts: 4,103
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: -7.74

« Reply #25 on: November 03, 2017, 12:18:57 PM »

http://firehousestrategies.com/vagov/

It appears Optimus Prime had a child named 0ptimus polling, they've got it at:

Gillespie:  40.4
Northam:  37.4

No undecideds or Hyra.

I am not posting this abomination in the polling board.
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Not_Madigan
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,103
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: -7.74

« Reply #26 on: November 03, 2017, 05:52:11 PM »

On the one hand, I’m kind of perversely happy that my prediction might actually be correct. On the other hand, if Gillespie wins, the next four years are going to be North Carolina 2: Electric Boogaloo.

As long as Gillespie keeps his opposition to an HB2 style bill (Which is a huge question given it's Ed Gillespie), I don't think it'd be that bad socially.

Gerrymandering though, you're completely screwed there if he wins.
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Not_Madigan
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,103
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: -7.74

« Reply #27 on: November 05, 2017, 01:36:08 PM »

This upshot poll is trash no way both candidates are below 45%.
Gillespie still is going to win,but this easily a nail biter this race is anywhere from +3 northam to plus +2 Gillespie.

Also I will make a big post on what county’s to watch and there benchmarks for both sides.
Spoiler chesterfield is a extremely important County.

First off, Sienna is among the best of the best in terms of polling firms. Secondly, when you remove the least likely to vote the numbers are:

46% Northam
43% Gillespie
2% Hyra

You mean 52-46-2 Because Gillespie gets all Undecideds.
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