MT-AL: Rob Quist (D) vs. Greg Gianforte (R) vs. Mark Wicks (L), May 25 (user search)
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  MT-AL: Rob Quist (D) vs. Greg Gianforte (R) vs. Mark Wicks (L), May 25 (search mode)
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Author Topic: MT-AL: Rob Quist (D) vs. Greg Gianforte (R) vs. Mark Wicks (L), May 25  (Read 240391 times)
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Not_Madigan
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Posts: 4,103
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Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: -7.74

« Reply #25 on: May 24, 2017, 07:14:35 PM »

If Gianforte wins he'll have to resign within days, then we get ANOTHER Special Election.
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Not_Madigan
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Posts: 4,103
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Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: -7.74

« Reply #26 on: May 24, 2017, 07:24:54 PM »

That audio is pretty damning. Hope Jacobs is alright...

If he's still Tweeting, he's probably alright.  Not in the ICU, like the fake tweeters have been claiming.

ben hasn't tweeted since 1 hour.

He just tweeted this:  https://twitter.com/Bencjacobs/status/867535038749040640
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Not_Madigan
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Posts: 4,103
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Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: -7.74

« Reply #27 on: May 24, 2017, 07:45:05 PM »

Vote Wicks.
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Not_Madigan
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Posts: 4,103
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Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: -7.74

« Reply #28 on: May 24, 2017, 07:55:33 PM »

ALL REMAINING MONTANA VOTERS, VOTE WICKS
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Not_Madigan
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Posts: 4,103
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Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: -7.74

« Reply #29 on: May 24, 2017, 08:36:04 PM »


THIS IS THE TOPIC NOW, HE BODY SLAMMED A ING REPORTER OF COURSE WE'RE GOING TO TALK ABOUT THIS AND THE EFFECT IT WILL HAVE
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Not_Madigan
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Posts: 4,103
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Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: -7.74

« Reply #30 on: May 25, 2017, 06:57:00 AM »

ALL YOU HAD TO DO WAS NOT GET CHARGED WITH A CRIME
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Not_Madigan
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Posts: 4,103
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Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: -7.74

« Reply #31 on: May 25, 2017, 10:58:52 AM »

If Louie Gohmert, Trent Franks, or Paul Ryan would still vote for Gianforte, then they are saying that assault is a good and honorable thing. Any montanan who votes for Gianforte today is saying the same. Enough said.

What about those who voted for him before this happened?
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Not_Madigan
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Posts: 4,103
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: -7.74

« Reply #32 on: May 25, 2017, 01:45:34 PM »

Just watch the county by county results and don't overreact to early returns. Smiley It's probably the best to wait until at least 70% of the vote is in (if not more than that) before making a projection, even if it "looks" like there is a winner early on.

Well, some people might stay level-headed and keep in mind how unrepresentative early returns can be, but we all know how much of Atlas will react later tonight. Wink

If Quist is ahead by more than 10%: OMG! Quistslide here we come! Bye-bye, Crazy Greg!

If Gianforte ever takes the lead: OMG! Quist is done!

"If the Democrats can't win this after #Assaultgate and the CBO report, they might as well be on their way to dissolution."
- "I agree. But IMO we could see a MO-SEN 2012 redux here.... Oh wait, I just checked the 2016 results and apparently Trump won MT by 20 points. So Democrats are doing about 20 points better than Clinton? Will Trump even get 100 EV in 2020 now?"
- "Yeah, maybe. I don't want to overreact, but I believe that the party which loses this race might as well give up on controlling anything federally until after 2022."
- "If Quist wins, it is even more evidence that Montana is going the way of Vermont or maybe Colorado!"
- "Yeah, but what if Gianforte wins after all of this? Maybe MT is turning into... West Virginia? Also OR and WA should be put on WV watch... they're all similar states, right?"

Wow and I thought I was a partisan hack for thinking Rauner can win reelection.
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Not_Madigan
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Posts: 4,103
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Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: -7.74

« Reply #33 on: May 25, 2017, 05:00:20 PM »

So, are we for the most part going into this blind, since all we had were pretty sh!tty pollsters and then Google Consumer Surveys?

Why did no really good pollsters poll the race?

Something about robocalls being illegal in Montana and polling being rather expensive.
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Not_Madigan
YaBB God
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Posts: 4,103
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: -7.74

« Reply #34 on: May 25, 2017, 05:24:21 PM »


NY Times should have a results page at about 9-9:30 EST, polls close at 10 EST.
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Not_Madigan
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Posts: 4,103
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Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: -7.74

« Reply #35 on: May 25, 2017, 06:41:10 PM »

What time do polls close again in Montana?
10 EST
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Not_Madigan
YaBB God
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Posts: 4,103
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Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: -7.74

« Reply #36 on: May 25, 2017, 07:43:54 PM »

Gianforte +5 to Quist +2
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Not_Madigan
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Posts: 4,103
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Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: -7.74

« Reply #37 on: May 25, 2017, 08:28:07 PM »

Is there a news channel or something to watch for results?

The NY Times site
https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/montana-house-special-election
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Not_Madigan
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Posts: 4,103
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: -7.74

« Reply #38 on: May 25, 2017, 08:32:20 PM »


CNN usually has the results going, they did for GA-6 and should for today.
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Not_Madigan
YaBB God
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Posts: 4,103
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: -7.74

« Reply #39 on: May 25, 2017, 09:16:45 PM »

According to NY Times, Quist is pulling ahead with 15% of precincts in.

Missoula popped in that's why.
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Not_Madigan
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Posts: 4,103
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Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: -7.74

« Reply #40 on: May 25, 2017, 09:19:07 PM »

>Everyone instantly makes assumptions based on little early vote.

Kek
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Not_Madigan
YaBB God
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Posts: 4,103
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Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: -7.74

« Reply #41 on: May 25, 2017, 09:21:53 PM »

Will you guys stop automatically assuming things?  Its way too early to make a call.
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Not_Madigan
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Posts: 4,103
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Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: -7.74

« Reply #42 on: May 25, 2017, 09:27:18 PM »

                         Quist vs Clinton

Yellowstone -         36.6       31.4
Gallatin -               53.8      45.1
Missoula -              61.3      51.9
Cascade -              42.8       35.2
Lewis & Clark -       52.8       41
Ravalli -                 37.0      27.6
Deer Lodge -          62.4      48.9
Jefferson -             37.5       29.8
Big Horn -              36.8      49.4
Chouteau -             37.0      28.1

Quist to Bullock is a better comparison.
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Not_Madigan
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,103
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: -7.74

« Reply #43 on: May 25, 2017, 09:29:50 PM »

It appears Gianforte may have BODYSLAMMED Quist to victory.
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Not_Madigan
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,103
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: -7.74

« Reply #44 on: May 25, 2017, 09:31:50 PM »

Gianforte is rolling! Or should I say....Slamming!

ing Krazen kek
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Not_Madigan
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,103
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: -7.74

« Reply #45 on: May 25, 2017, 09:37:02 PM »

Can we not call this yet and simply wait for more results? Geez...

Please listen to Treasurer, wait for more results.
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Not_Madigan
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,103
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: -7.74

« Reply #46 on: May 25, 2017, 09:47:40 PM »

Will Trump talk trash on Twitter about this victory? Or will even he know better?

Considering how he didn't tell people to go out and vote on Twitter like he did for KS and GA, no.
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Not_Madigan
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,103
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: -7.74

« Reply #47 on: May 25, 2017, 10:02:09 PM »

A reminder that the DCCC spent a tenth on this race what they've spent in GA-6 so far.

Maybe cause they knew it really wasn't winnable?

Bullock won the state against Gianforte as Clinton lost by 20 points. Jon Tester got elected twice here.

I ask you to compare Tester and Bullock's policies and views to Quist.
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Not_Madigan
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,103
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: -7.74

« Reply #48 on: May 26, 2017, 07:19:27 AM »

Cmon and slam
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