Canada 2006 Swing Ridings

[Harry Hayfield]

So I'll start here naming all the seats we should watch. If there are factual errors let me know:

Western Arctic, NWT

Vancouver Centre, BC

Vancouver Kingsway, BC

Burnaby New Westminster, BC

North Vancouver, BC

I think those indeed can all be counted as swing ridings. Western Arctic requires a 0.20% swing from Lib to NDP to go to the NDP, Vancouver, Kingsway requires a 1.58% swing to go NDP, Vancouver North needs just a 0.46% swing from the Cons to go NDP. If you will give me some time to finish off Quebec (50 more to go), I'll compile a swingometer (something that might need some explaination) for the Conservatives and Liberals, and the NDP's top 50 targets

[Harry Hayfield]

Liberal Targets (to gain a majority)

Number   Name of riding
1   Simcoe, Grey
2   Regina, Lumsden, Lake Centre
3   Cambridge
4   Kildonan, St. Paul
5   Saskatoon, Humboldt
6   Newton, North Delta
7   Niagara West, Glanbrook
8   Newmarket, Aurora
9   Essex
10   Charleswood, St. James
11   Sault Sainte. Marie
12   Timmins, James Bay
13   Chicoutimi, Le Fjord
14   Nunavik, Eeyou
15   Niagara Falls
16   Halifax
17   Clarington, Scugog and Uxbridge
18   Oshawa
19   West Vancouver, Sunshine Coast
20   Haldimand, Norfolk
21   Dufferin, Caledon
22   St. John's South
23   Wellington, Halton Hills
24   St. John's North
25   Prince Edward, Hastings

[Harry Hayfield]

Conservative Targets to gain a Conservative majority

Number   Name of riding
1   Edmonton, Beaumont
2   Middlesex, Kent and Lambton
3   Northumberland, Quinte West
4   Burnaby, New Westminster
5   Chatham-Kent, Essex
6   Edmonton Centre
7   Burnaby, Douglas
8   Ottawa West and Nepean
9   Barrie
10   Skeena, Bulkley Valley
11   North Vancouver
12   Ottawa, Orléans
13   Brant
14   Ancaster, Dundas, Flamborough and Westdale
15   Nipissing, Timiskaming
16   Brampton West
17   Hamilton Mountain
18   Simcoe North
19   St. Catharines
20   Bonavista, Exploits
21   Burlington
22   Kitchener, Conestoga
23   Louis-Saint-Laurent
24   Parry Sound, Muskoka
25   Kenora
26   Tobique, Mactaquac
27   Whitby, Oshawa
28   Ottawa South
29   Richmond
30   West Nova
31   Saint John
32   Halton
33   Glengarry, Prescott and Russell
34   Nanaimo, Cowichan
35   Esquimalt, Juan de Fuca
36   Sarnia, Lambton
37   Peterborough
38   London, Fanshawe
39   Thunder Bay, Rainy River
40   Victoria
41   Fredericton
42   Welland
43   London West
44   Sault Sainte. Marie
45   Hamilton East, Stoney Creek
46   Saint Boniface
47   London North Centre
48   Ajax, Pickering
49   Pontiac
50   Kings, Hants
51   Oakville
52   Winnipeg South
53   Algoma, Manitoulin and Kapuskasing
54   Mississauga South
55   Oak Ridges, Markham
56   Guelph
57   Kitchener, Waterloo
58   Huron, Bruce
59   Mississauga, Streetsville
60   Bramalea, Gore and Malton
61   Vancouver South