Scottish Parliamentary Elections (May 5, 2011) (user search)
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  Scottish Parliamentary Elections (May 5, 2011) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Scottish Parliamentary Elections (May 5, 2011)  (Read 47310 times)
Harry Hayfield
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,988
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 0.35

P P
« on: May 13, 2010, 04:25:11 PM »

Don't forget there are boundary changes in Scotland. I have some figures that were e-mailed to me from someone who did the calculations (not offical ones, mind) and they came out as thus:

Scottish National Party 23 constituencies + 23 regionals = 46 MSP's
Scottish Labour Party 34 constituencies + 10 regionals = 44 MSP's
Scottish Conservative and Unionists 5 constituencies + 14 regionals = 19 MSP's
Scottish Liberal Democrats 11 constituencies + 6 regionals = 17 MSP's
Scottish Green Party 0 constituencies + 2 regionals = 2 MSP's
Independent (Margo McDonald) 0 constituencies + 1 regional = 1 MSP
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Harry Hayfield
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,988
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 0.35

P P
« Reply #1 on: May 14, 2010, 06:23:19 PM »

Conservative Battleground
1   Dumfriesshire
2   Perthshire South and Kinross-shire
3   Stirling

4   Edinburgh Southern
5   Edinburgh Central

6   Cunninghame North
7   Angus North and Mearns
8   Argyllshire and Bute

9   East Lothian
10   Renfrewshire North and West

11   Fife North East
12   Aberdeen South and Kincardine North

13   Aberdeen Central
14   Strathkelvin and Bearsden

15   Aberdeenshire West
16   Midlothian South, Tweedale and Lauderdale
17   Edinburgh Western
18   Clydesdale
19   Perthshire North
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Harry Hayfield
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,988
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 0.35

P P
« Reply #2 on: August 11, 2010, 06:27:22 PM »

Have redistributed results for the new constituencies been published yet?
Not 'officially' though I have a feeling Harry may have them!

I have an UNOFFICAL set of notionals that say:
Scottish National Party: 23 constituencies + 23 regionals = 46 MSP's
Scottish Labour: 34 constituencies + 10 regionals = 44 MSP's
Scottish Conservatives and Unionists: 5 constituencies + 14 regionals = 19 MSP's
Scottish Liberal Democrats: 11 constituencies + 6 regionals = 17 MSP's
Scottish Greens: 2 regionals = 2 MSP's
Independents: 1 regional = 1 MSP

HOWEVER these will be superceded when Professor Denver's notional figures are published. I rang him up in July to ask how they were progressing and he told me that that the following week he would deliver them to the BBC in Glasgow, so therefore it is now in the BBC's hands (and by association the Press Association as well), so all we can do is wait until they update their election studio graphics with the new maps and calculations (although personally speaking, if they have not published them by the end of the SNP conference, I shall contact them and ask if there is a reason why they are sitting on them)
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Harry Hayfield
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,988
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 0.35

P P
« Reply #3 on: August 11, 2010, 06:32:11 PM »

Holyrood constituency: CON 10%(-3), LAB 46%(+1), LDEM 11%(nc), SNP 32%(+3)
Holyrood regional: CON 11%(-1), LAB 42%(+1), LDEM 12%(nc), SNP 30%(+2)
[/quote]

Based on the old House:

Scottish Labour Party: 53 constituencies + 10 regionals = 63 MSP's
Scottish National Party: 11 constituencies + 34 regionals = 45 MSP's
Liberal Democrats: 8 constituencies + 4 regionals = 12 MSP's
Scottish Conservatives and Unionists: 1 constituency + 8 regionals = 9 MSP's
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