LA GOV (JMC) JBE leads 48/46 (user search)
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  LA GOV (JMC) JBE leads 48/46 (search mode)
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Author Topic: LA GOV (JMC) JBE leads 48/46  (Read 4543 times)
Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


« on: October 28, 2019, 04:17:44 PM »

Wait til Trump holds a few rallies and that 6% goes for Rispone

More blacks than whites are undecided. This is actually a pretty good poll for JBE, definitely shows a tossups race when I had it at lean R. Leads 50-47 w/leaners.
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


« Reply #1 on: October 28, 2019, 05:41:24 PM »

Wait til Trump holds a few rallies and that 6% goes for Rispone

More blacks than whites are undecided. This is actually a pretty good poll for JBE, definitely shows a tossups race when I had it at lean R. Leads 50-47 w/leaners.

It's a very small difference (7% / 5%) and you don't know how these whites are leaning. Are they white liberals in NOLA ? ; or are they Abraham voters who are still trying to make up their mind ?

Probably the latter, but when pushed in this poll, Edwards gains a point and Rispone is stagnant with whites. Lets say Edwards loses undecided's 80-20, and wins all of the black undecideds. Then, he leads 51-49. By no means definitive for either candidate, but if JBE can finish strong he can win. I am moving it to tilt r.
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