Phil Bredesen leads in PPP poll 46-41. (user search)
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  Phil Bredesen leads in PPP poll 46-41. (search mode)
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Author Topic: Phil Bredesen leads in PPP poll 46-41.  (Read 5339 times)
Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


« on: March 21, 2018, 01:54:07 AM »

just for the record, TN polls OVERWHELMINGLY estimate dems. Just as a few examples, they underestimated Haslam by 21 and Trump by 16.
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


« Reply #1 on: March 21, 2018, 03:11:55 PM »

just for the record, TN polls OVERWHELMINGLY estimate dems. Just as a few examples, they underestimated Haslam by 21 and Trump by 16.

Seems like cherry-picking to me. I think those were Vanderbilt polls in particular

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_Tennessee,_2012#Polling_2
no, it is not. Actually, you are the one who is cherrypicking, because only one poll came out on that race more than a year out. I can keep going, such as when Alexander overperformed polls by 12, Haslam overperformed by 7 in 2010, TN-08 by 12, etc etc Smiley
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


« Reply #2 on: March 21, 2018, 03:14:44 PM »

one thing that looks good for Bredi is he overperformed the polls by 10 in 2006...
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


« Reply #3 on: March 30, 2018, 10:56:29 AM »

just for the record, TN polls OVERWHELMINGLY estimate dems. Just as a few examples, they underestimated Haslam by 21 and Trump by 16.

Seems like cherry-picking to me. I think those were Vanderbilt polls in particular

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_Tennessee,_2012#Polling_2
no, it is not. Actually, you are the one who is cherrypicking, because only one poll came out on that race more than a year out. I can keep going, such as when Alexander overperformed polls by 12, Haslam overperformed by 7 in 2010, TN-08 by 12, etc etc Smiley

Sounds like the argument many Republicans last year were arguing in VA-Gov. Republicans tend to overperformed their polling averages in Virginia and Tennessee in red wave years.
I mean,. Sure. But THAT much can't. Be attributed solely to "MUH red wave". Also, please don't call me the next limo, I am just pointing out the facts
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