Gun to your head- who wins MD governor race?

[Bidenworth2020]

I'd say democrat ultra narrowly

[Bidenworth2020]

I'm from Maryland. First, what is up with these gun to my head questions? Anyway, the Dems are really in the early stages of campaigning and the primary isn't until June. So this question can't really be confidently answered until next Summer and early Fall. Hogan still has good approvals, but that could definetly change over the course of 2018. I'm waiting to see who the Dem nominee is, and if they are better than Brown. Majority of Maryland voters ain't paying attention yet, so I would say 50/50.

It just means no tossup statements

[Bidenworth2020]

gun to my head i'd take the popular incumbent in every race

Better be careful there with that strategy...

72% of the time incumbent governors win.

This race has shades of Rhode Island in 2006, with Hogan even more popular than Carcieri. I expect the same result.

Rhode Island went to Hilldog by 16. MD did by 33.

[Bidenworth2020]

Gov. Larry Hogan will win reelection by 5-6 points. The Baltimore suburbs will put him over the top.

Remember, this is Maryland we are talking about.

no joke, people take it personally if you say you voted for Trump/are a republican.

[Bidenworth2020]

Gov. Larry Hogan will win reelection by 5-6 points. The Baltimore suburbs will put him over the top.

Remember, this is Maryland we are talking about.

no joke, people take it personally if you say you voted for Trump/are a republican.

When I was younger I used to go visit family in Cecil County. This was before I paid too much attention to politics, but I'd have been surprised if you told me then that it was one of the most Democratic states in the country.

well, yeah, but Hogan is gonna win Cecil about 75-25

[Bidenworth2020]

If I had to guess, Hogan by about 2%, but he could definitely lose.

sorry, but just no. I don't mean to be offensive, but you really do not understand just how toxic Trump is here in MD. If a Democrat can successfully link Hogan to Trump in any, most likely via his Travel Ban support, he is done.