2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: New Jersey

[Pollster]

In my first foray ever into DRA, I've managed to draw a map that went 11-1 for Biden/Booker/Clinton and 10-2 for Menendez/Murphy and gives every Democrat a solid path to reelection.

I paid no attention to any laws/COIs/etc and probably violated thousands of requirements. Many incumbents are slightly outside of their districts, but lines could probably easily be modified to get their homes within them. I don't know.

Don't know how to get a picture but here's a link: https://davesredistricting.org/join/9283b68b-0bc2-4a5d-95cc-9d4bdb4dba15

Details:

NJ-01: Biden +45. Technically open by Sires lives just outside and would run here.
NJ-02: Biden +57 for Payne.
NJ-03: Biden +31 for Pascrell. Technically double-bunked with Sires but he would run in NJ-01.
NJ-04: Biden +11 for Gottheimer.
NJ-05: Biden +14 for Sherrill.
NJ-06: Biden +10. Smith, Watson Coleman, and Malinowski are triple-bunked but Watson Coleman probably runs here, Malinowski goes for NJ-07 and Smith for NJ-10.
NJ-07: Biden +25. Technically open but Malinowski would probably run here.
NJ-08: Biden +15 for Pallone.
NJ-09: Biden +7. Technically open but Kim lives just outside and would run here. Vulnerable in a GOP-favored cycle but Kim is probably strong enough to hold.
NJ-10: Trump +13. Technically Kim lives here but would run in NJ-09, Smith probably runs here.
NJ-11: Biden +10. Technically open but Norcross lives just outside and would run here.
NJ-12: Biden +6 to draw out Van Drew. He may survive a GOP-favored cycle but would not last.

[Pollster]

That is one phenomenal gerrymander. Even went 11-1 for Menendez. Will be curious to see what the Murphy 2021 numbers look like.

[Pollster]

Would be phenomenal if somebody could get their hands on a DRA link - curious to see how Menendez '18 performed on this map.

Malinowski can probably keep his loss to Kean respectable here. Kean will probably have to cut out a Fitzpatrick/Katko-type profile to survive here long-term. Gottheimer should probably hope that NJ progressives remain as incompetent and poorly organized as they are. Van Drew can still be threatened in a particularly poor year for Republicans and these lines probably continue to keep him willing to cross party lines on some things as he did with the infrastructure bill.

Overall a map that likely sheds Dems but requires the requisite Republicans to moderate in some way - not a bad result for the party.