Who wins Iowa? Who wins NH? Who drops out by then? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 06, 2024, 12:49:19 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  Who wins Iowa? Who wins NH? Who drops out by then? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Who wins Iowa? Who wins NH? Who drops out by then?  (Read 1609 times)
Pollster
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,765


« on: May 14, 2018, 11:49:31 AM »

Iowa: Amy Klobuchar (she's got the neighboring state bonus, which should help her here)

New Hampshire: Bernie Sanders if he runs, otherwise Elizabeth Warren (both have a neighboring state bonus, and both will likely be in top three in Iowa)

Nevada: Kamala Harris (Neighboring State and all)

South Carolina: Cory Booker (I can see Harris winning here, but I think Booker has stronger ties to the Black community. As such he'll be tougher to beat in South Carolina, as well as other Southern States).

Is the neighboring state effect an actual thing?

Voters are usually more familiar with candidates from neighboring states due to overlapping media markets. It's not necessarily a strong bond voters feel to the states next to them, but rather just a name recognition advantage. Also a lot easier for candidates to travel to/campaign in neighboring states rather than to have to fly/drive hours to get to events.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.021 seconds with 13 queries.