Political future of former GA House Minority Leader Stacey Abrams (D-Atlanta)

[Rookie Yinzer]

Here's an interesting piece of local knowledge:  Keisha Lance Bottoms and Stacey Abrams do not get along, at all.  It's no secret that KLB was supportive of Stacey Evans during the Democratic Primary, and she never really cranked out her ATL machine for Abrams in the general election.  For that reason, Stacey Abrams becoming mayor of Atlanta would require her probably mobilizing anti-Bottoms/Reed Democrats, becoming somewhat more of a "Justice Dem" in the mold of Kwame Abernathy or Kwanzaa Hall, or somehow mobilizing the Buckhead vote?  Seems very unlikely.

LOL. Abrams would win an election for Mayor handily. Voters don't care or even know about these silly factional disputes at City Hall.

Also LOL at the notion that Abrams who received the most votes for any Georgia Democrat would need the help of someone who has only had to turn out 46,000 votes in an off year runoff.

[Rookie Yinzer]

Quick, someone make a map comparing Trump% to Isakson% in 2016 to demonstrate the point that suburban Atlantans still love "moderate" Republicans.

Barksdale was a weak challenger with no electoral history. Why are you referencing a data point from before Trump won to prove that suburban Atlantans are still with the GOP post-Trump’s presidency? Democrats flipped 16 seats in both chambers of the state legislature in Metro Atlanta, Karen Handel got tossed out on her ass, Rob Woodall scraped by with less than 400 votes, and the NOBODY running in GA-11 still won the reliably red Cobb portion of the district.

There is nothing- No evidence to suggest these people will vote for Perdue. He will do worse than Kemp in Metro Atlanta. Bookmark this.

[Rookie Yinzer]

Quick, someone make a map comparing Trump% to Isakson% in 2016 to demonstrate the point that suburban Atlantans still love "moderate" Republicans.

Barksdale was a weak challenger with no electoral history. Why are you referencing a data point from before Trump won to prove that suburban Atlantans are still with the GOP post-Trump’s presidency? Democrats flipped 16 seats in both chambers of the state legislature in Metro Atlanta, Karen Handel got tossed out on her ass, Rob Woodall scraped by with less than 400 votes, and the NOBODY running in GA-11 still won the reliably red Cobb portion of the district.

There is nothing- No evidence to suggest these people will vote for Perdue. He will do worse than Kemp in Metro Atlanta. Bookmark this.

Just no, Perdue will run ahead of Trump in 2020.  Bookmark this.  Trump was unpopular in 2016 and did abysmally around Atlanta, yet Isakaon significantly outperformed him.  Perdue probably won’t overperform as much, but he doesn’t have to in order to win.

Do you really think 2018 is a good base year to use, given that it was a D+9 environment where a lot of Republicans (mostly of the more moderate, Perdue type) stayed home?  And let’s not forget, even given this stellar environment, Dems still didn’t win a single statewide office.  It’s not happening, especially not by retreading Abrams as the nominee and the continued rural trends towards the GOP.

Again, Isakson had a no-name challenger, the suburbs hadn’t soured on the GOP because Trump’s presidency was not a reality, and a lot of Democrats just left the ballot BLANK.

As far as 2018, “soft” Metro Republicans and white Independents didn’t stay home. They voted for Stacey Abrams. If she runs she will get 60 percent in Gwinnett and 55 percent in Cobb. I’m old enough to remember when Cobb and Gwinnett were supposedly toss-ups and then they voted for her by 9 and 15 points, now we are re-writing history that Kemp was historically unpopular. Even though he ran ahead of Karen Handel and Rob Woodall. There were legitimate defections from the GOP. And they will continue.

[Rookie Yinzer]

I agree with Adam's analysis and others.  Abrams shouldn't run for Senate in 2020.

My thought: she could well be Joe Biden's running mate if he wins the Presidential nomination.

Biden’s record is antithetical to everything Stacey Abrams stands for. I hope she is nowhere near a Biden ticket.

[Rookie Yinzer]

Abrams 2022 Governor with Barrow vs Isakson in Senate is the key.

Barrow is not going to win a high profile primary in this state.