Add GA to that mix as well. The four states have rapidly growing populations--and everyone talks about the ethnic populations moving in. But they are effectively matched in a less public way by a significant conservative white influx. And just about the first thing they will do when they arrive in their new home is register to vote.
No. Republicans in Georgia went +8 to +5 to +1 in the top of the ticket races in the past three cycles. The Republican Party's strangehold on this state is nearly over. Trump probably won't even clear 50 percent here.