AL-JMC: DOUG +4

[Rookie Yinzer]

Jones need to be in Montgomery/Birmingham/Huntsville/Mobile and the Black Belt relentlessly over the next few weeks.

[Rookie Yinzer]

Jones need to be in Montgomery/Birmingham/Huntsville/Mobile and the Black Belt relentlessly over the next few weeks.

Jones has been constantly campaigning across the entire state. I've got to give it to him - he's pretty smart and has a lot of stamina.

He did hit Mobile with John Lewis recently. And Jones prosecuting the church bombers should give him a lot of goodwill in Birmingham.

If Jones wants to win any white votes, campaigning with John Lewis isn't very smart.

Mobile County is 1/3 black. He needs to squeeze every Democratic leaning vote out of there to keep it close. He needs like 47-48 percent of the vote here. HRC got 42 percent with obviously depressed interest by black voters.

[Rookie Yinzer]

Jones need to be in Montgomery/Birmingham/Huntsville/Mobile and the Black Belt relentlessly over the next few weeks.

Jones has been constantly campaigning across the entire state. I've got to give it to him - he's pretty smart and has a lot of stamina.

He did hit Mobile with John Lewis recently. And Jones prosecuting the church bombers should give him a lot of goodwill in Birmingham.

If Jones wants to win any white votes, campaigning with John Lewis isn't very smart.

Mobile County is 1/3 black. He needs to squeeze every Democratic leaning vote out of there to keep it close. He needs like 47-48 percent of the vote here. HRC got 42 percent with obviously depressed interest by black voters.

I'd say to barely eke it out, 30% of the white vote and Obama-levels of minority turnout will be key.

Counting on low Republican turnout and white business people voting for Jones to not taint business interests to keep the margins in Mobile closer than normal.

[Rookie Yinzer]

Jones need to be in Montgomery/Birmingham/Huntsville/Mobile and the Black Belt relentlessly over the next few weeks.

Jones has been constantly campaigning across the entire state. I've got to give it to him - he's pretty smart and has a lot of stamina.

He did hit Mobile with John Lewis recently. And Jones prosecuting the church bombers should give him a lot of goodwill in Birmingham.

If Jones wants to win any white votes, campaigning with John Lewis isn't very smart.

Mobile County is 1/3 black. He needs to squeeze every Democratic leaning vote out of there to keep it close. He needs like 47-48 percent of the vote here. HRC got 42 percent with obviously depressed interest by black voters.

Sorry, but to win Jones needs to outright win Mobile- not just keep it close.

Yeah I didn't realize Bob Vance won Mobile County in the 2012 Supreme Court race. He still needs those votes though and there were many white people at the event from what I saw. So John Lewis hurting him is inaccurate.

ETA: Why are the Supreme Court races in AL so close? Sue Bell Cobb won her race. Deborah Bell (D) barely lost in a 50/50 race and Bob Vance (D) came within 3 points of Roy Moore.