Georgia's Very Own Megathread!

[Rookie Yinzer]

What do you think are the necessary demos for an Abrams victory?  Something like 57% white 43% non-white?

I posted some numbers a few pages back, but as of today I think/hope she can do this:

White (59%) 25% of vote
Black (31%) 93% of vote
Latino (5%) 70% of vote
Asian (3%) 60% of vote
Other (2%) 55% of vote

I can't stress enough how expansive and far-reaching this field operation is in comparison to Jason Carter. They are digging in deep and this is just the state party's Coordinated Campaign promoting Abrams, Amico, and Democrats down the ballot. The Abrams apparatus themselves are paying people to do nothing but knock on doors for 10 hours a day, and they plan to reach out to 1 million on their own with no overlap with the 3 million voters the state party plans to touch.

And there are like a million political groups who are going to swarm into Georgia once Early Voting starts from trade unions, to AAPI interest groups, Black Pac, Black Economic Alliance, NARAL, Let America Vote, Emily's List, Mijente, National Domestic Workers Alliance, Working Families' Party, etc. Maybe I'm just hopped up on a high of Stacey Abrams but I just don't see how Kemp wins unless it goes to a run off.

Which it won't.

[Rookie Yinzer]

I haven't seen any presence from the Abrams campaign in UGA.

I know for a fact there's a Dawgs for Abrams student organization there. I'm not affiliated with it, so I don't know how well they promote it. Either way, four field organizers are being dispatched to Athens next week. With more on the way.

[Rookie Yinzer]

Forgive my ignorance; but is Abrams virtually dead on arrival if it’s a run off? I can see a very cruel scenario where she’d beat Kemp but not reach 50%.

I think that is the general assumption, but given how insanely enthusiastic the left is and how much they have been over-performing in special elections, I'm not convinced a runoff would doom her.

I think the same thing. It could either be a blowout for the R, or Abrams can win modestly. We dont really have any info on which could occur.

It will still be a Toss Up. And no I don’t care what happened in the 2008 Senate run off. There are so many factors that make what could happen this year different from then.

[Rookie Yinzer]

That's just the sneak peek of the generic R response if in fact the tape does come out.

If Kemp really does give a weaksauce response like that should such a tape be leaked, African-Americans in the ATL Metro and Black Belt will turn out in such record numbers that they'll be able to cancel out whatever rural rubes show up elsewhere.

We’re already going to be doing that. We have field offices all over deeply Democratic areas in the metro running FL/OH presidential level operations right now.

In fact, I attended a field office launch last night in Henry County. The crowd was magnetic when Abrams walked in. I really believe we’re going to do this.