The Official Trump 1.0 Approval Ratings Thread

[Wiz in Wis]

Gallup: 43/52

[Wiz in Wis]

Also from PPP

Just three weeks into his administration, voters are already evenly divided on the issue of impeaching Trump with 46% in favor and 46% opposed. Support for impeaching Trump has crept up from 35% 2 weeks ago, to 40% last week, to its 46% standing this week. While Clinton voters initially only supported Trump's impeachment 65/14, after seeing him in office over the last few weeks that's gone up already to 83/6.

That's on Trump. If you never stop campaigning, don't be surprised when the other side decides every day is essentially election day.

[Wiz in Wis]

Gallup 2/10/17

Approve 42 (-1)
Disapprove 52 (nc)

Seems like a pretty stable range here.

[Wiz in Wis]

Jesus...

[Wiz in Wis]

I think people are seriously overestimating people's patience with incompetence. What did Bush in was not the ideological stuff, it was mismanagement. Iraq became a quagmire, Katrina a national embarrassment, lethargic response to the economy sliding into recession, infighting, scandals. These weaken base support as people become less inclined to defend their side. It's hard to defend your guy when your opponent can point to so many easy criticisms that have no reasonable response.

The only thing they have right now is "Oh, he's new, give him a chance" - That get's less useful every day and will die a sudden death after the first major challenge highlights this team's inability to run anything competently.

[Wiz in Wis]

Gallup (2/13):

Approve 40%
Disapprove 54%

Or Fight!

[Wiz in Wis]

Gallup (2/14):

Approve 40%
Disapprove 54%

no change

I was actually expecting this to narrow a bit, as a particularly bad Trump day looked primed to drop out of the rolling three day average... Would indicate that yesterday was at least as bad.

[Wiz in Wis]

The asymmetry on the "strongly" part is what could be the most important in upcoming special elections and in 2018. GOTV is easier if your side is energized.

[Wiz in Wis]

They also find Kaine up 20! over Carly Fiorina and Laura Ingrahm.

https://poll.qu.edu/virginia/release-detail?ReleaseID=2430

[Wiz in Wis]

Gallup:
38/56

Damn

[Wiz in Wis]

So, second poll agreeing with Pew. I wonder what the others will look like.

What was the other under 40? Pew, Gallup... and?

[Wiz in Wis]

So, second poll agreeing with Pew. I wonder what the others will look like.

What was the other under 40? Pew, Gallup... and?

No I mean this poll confirms Pew. I wanted to see if other polls confirmed this, if so Trump could be in political trouble.

He already is. If these numbers are true, he's probably only break even in states like Indiana and Missouri, which would significantly help McCaskill and Donnelly.

More to the point he needs better ratings for his legislative agenda. The Congressional Republicans may conclude that they may not benefit from working with Trump if his ratings crash further. Its amazing they don't realize how problematic the man is.

By this point in his presidency, Obama had passed:

ARRA,
Expanded S-Chip
Lilly Ledbetter

This Congress.... crickets.

[Wiz in Wis]

If those numbers are accurate, Democrats should easily win MT-AL and GA-6. We'll see.

Define "easily". I could see Ossoff winning by mid-single digits if Trump's numbers continue to crater, but I fail to see how Amanda-whats-her-piercing wins in Montana. Maybe Quist if he's supported by the national party.

Montana is actually pretty swingy, and has elected Dems to Congress plenty of times. I doubt how that race would be any harder than GA-06.

Of course, at this rate, Trump's approval may be so low we're talking about KS-03 in a couple months being a D pickup target.

[Wiz in Wis]

Trump has a shot at net positive approval assuming he does nothing stupid for like, a solid week. If he can pull that off.

Given all the crap in the air over Russia, not sure he can make a solid week of non-news.

[Wiz in Wis]

Virginia: Roanoke Poll 

Approve 32%
Disapprove 50%

Methinks the GOP will probably lose the Governor's race again...

[Wiz in Wis]

Q-Poll (1,323 RVs, Feb 16-21, Landline and Cell Phone).

February 22nd (Change from February 7th)
Approve 38 (-4)
Dissaprove 55 (+4)

https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2431

American voters today give President Donald Trump a negative 38 - 55 percent job approval rating, his worst net score since he took office, down from a negative 42 - 51 percent approval rating in a February 7 Quinnipiac University national poll.

President Trump's negative scores are 36 - 59 percent among women and 41 - 50 percent among men, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds. Republicans approve 83 - 10 percent, while negative approval ratings are 5 - 91 percent among Democrats and 38 - 55 percent among independent voters.

Trump gets a negative 39 - 55 percent favorability rating, also his worst net score since taking office. Vice President Mike Pence gets a split 41 - 40 percent favorability.

[Wiz in Wis]

Quinnipiac asked voters who they trust more to tell them "the truth about important issues" --

Trump 37%
News media 52%

[Wiz in Wis]

PPP (Feb 21/22)

Approve 45 (+2)
Dissaprove 48 (-5)

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2017/PPP_Release_National_22417.pdf

Other good stuff in there on the media, etc.

[Wiz in Wis]

Today's Gallup:

Approve: 43% (nc)
Disapprove: 52% (nc)

[Wiz in Wis]

Gallup:

43% (nc)
51% (nc)

It doesn't seem like his congressional address gave him much of a bounce.

3/4 update:
Gallup:

43% (nc)
51% (nc)

Def no speech bounce... but no drop from Sessions either, yet.

[Wiz in Wis]

According to Gallup, Trump now has three times as many days at or below 40 than he does at or above 45.

[Wiz in Wis]

Today's Gallup

Approve 36% (-4)
Disapprove 57% (+3)

[Wiz in Wis]

The religion crosstabs in that poll are fishy.  Jews like Trump more than Protestants do?  Really?

Small N issues, no doubt.

[Wiz in Wis]

3/28 Gallup

Approve 36% (-)
Disapprove 56% (-1)

[Wiz in Wis]

Gallup:

Approve: 35% (-1)
Disapprove: 59% (+3)

Wow!

"He's a good prez,
loves Ivanka,
loves Jesus,
and America too.

He's a good prez,
crazy about Fox News,
loves winning,
and Melania too..."