Who won the first debate?

[Wiz in Wis]

Just ask yourself two questions:

Of people who were leaning towards Trump, but had reservations, were they reassured?

Of people who were leaning towards Clinton, but had reservations, were they reassured?

I can imagine a good proportion of people leaning Clinton found her to be competent and presidential, but I cannot see that with the lean Trump folks.

I can also imagine that a sustained narrative that Trump lost can excite otherwise depressed Dems and depress otherwise happy GOPers. That could impact response bias as well

I still doubt Clinton wins by more than 4, but I also doubt she wins by less than 2, especially after tonight. Trump needed to substantially increase his appeal to the undecided/3rd party voters and disaffected Clinton supporters. He did not seem to accomplish that.

[Wiz in Wis]

Time.com Poll  

Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump faced off at their first presidential debate Monday. Who do you think won?
http://time.com/4506217/presidential-debate-clinton-trump-survey/
TRUMP 55%
Hillary 45%

1,588,984 voted

win win win. bing bing bong bing.

Fun fact... absolutely zero Russians voted in this poll.

Seriously, right above this is the following:

A disclaimer: Online reader polls like this one are not statistically representative of likely voters, and are not predictive of the debate outcome will effect the election. They are a measure, however imprecise, of which candidates have the most energized online supporters, or most social media savvy fan base. After all, what they are counting is the number of Internet-devices controlled by people who want to vote.