Reuters/Ipsos tracking poll (user search)
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Author Topic: Reuters/Ipsos tracking poll  (Read 13342 times)
Wiz in Wis
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« on: September 21, 2016, 08:57:45 AM »

Nope, you just don't know how to use it properly Smiley

But it could be a lot easier if they simplified it really.

Theres a place to click for the match up and a place to put filters on said match up, im using the site just fine.

Well, if you used it properly you would get Trump +2 like it is. You have to click on a daily tracking rather than weekly which is default, maybe you are making a mistake there.

Im on mobile which could be an issue.
Direct links:

2-way LV: http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TM651Y15_DS_13/filters/LIKELY:1/dates/20160808-20160921/type/day
2-way RV: http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TM651Y15_DS_13/filters/PD1:1/dates/20160808-20160921/type/day

4-way LV: http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TM651Y15_26/filters/LIKELY:1/dates/20160801-20160920/type/day
4-way RV: http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TM651Y15_26/filters/PD1:1/dates/20160801-20160919/type/week

If you need to "hack" into a new day, all you need to do on the URL is change the end date (20160919 to 20160921, for example, it's in YYYYMMDD format).

Interestingly, the LV screen in both samples seems to introduce a great deal more "uncertainty" than the RV responses would suggest. How do they determine LV? Self-report?
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Wiz in Wis
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Posts: 2,711


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« Reply #1 on: September 23, 2016, 12:49:58 PM »

Current
2-way (Change from 9/19) Clinton +6.3
Clinton            42.3% (+3.2%)
Trump             36.0%  (-3.1%)
Other                9.2%  (-0.8%)
Refused             8.4%  (+1.0%)  
Would Not Vote  4.0%  (+0.4%)

1,098 LV (September 18 - September 22, 2016)

4-way (change from 9/19) Clinton +5.2
Clinton                       41.0% (+3.6%)
Trump                        35.9% (-3.3%)
Johnson                      7.3%   (-0.1%)
Stein                          2.1%   (-0.3%)
Don't Know/Refused    8.4%   (+0.9%)  
Other                          2.3%   (-0.6%)
Won't Vote                  2.9%   (-0.3%)

1,098 LV (September 18 - September 22, 2016)

This pretty much was based on one-day's polling. Trump was tied yesterday in the 4-way, the 2-way was +3.

Links

2-way - http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TM651Y15_DS_13/filters/LIKELY:1/dates/20160801-20160923/type/day
4-way -
http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TM651Y15_26/filters/LIKELY:1/dates/20160801-20160923/type/day

Well... it could be that a very good Trump day dropped at the same time a very good Clinton day was added.
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #2 on: October 04, 2016, 04:31:19 PM »
« Edited: October 04, 2016, 04:32:53 PM by Wiz in Wis »

Clinton now up 5.9 points among LVs, as of Oct 3.... but opening up an 11 point lead among RVs!
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