Texas could flip. I'm not buying that Cruz is unbeatable. Likely R is fine.
The list looks okay otherwise, maybe move Nevada to tossup possibly.
Somewhat related- Dianne Feinstein, Ben Cardin, and Tom Carper all need to retire. Bill Nelson can stick around one more term.
I totally agree regarding TX and Cruz. If Joaquin Castro runs (which it appear likely)... its a total Turnout Game. Texas 2014 mid-term elections only had 28.5% turnout. In a state that is 45% minority w/ the 1st major mexican american Dem candidate to run for Gov or Senator (at least in a long while)... Turnout for Castro could be unusually high. And Cruz could struggle to inspire Republican turnout.
Because its a midterm... and Cruz is the opponent- Castro has the voters to win (its a matter of if he can turn the out)
Democrats tried the turnout game. That was in 2014... Read the story of Battleground Texas.
