When will South Carolina become a swing state?

[sterk001]

South Carolina is one of those weird states in which its kind of steady in its voting pattern. I think Joe Cunningham's win in the 1st district was more a reflection of the national environment being more Dem in 2018, and if you look at the turnout numbers in the 1st district compared to 2016, it was much lower from what I remember off the top of my head. However, at the presidential level, it has been quite steady. Keep in mind that SC also had a long serving senator who was a Republican ahead of entire South's shift to becoming more Republican than in the 70s-80s (Strom Thurmond). So the answer is not anytime soon, but possibly in the 2040s depending on demographic shifts. At least that's my take. And demographic shifts aren't always a given, because they can go the other way too.