Romney's path without Ohio, Hint: There is none (user search)
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  Romney's path without Ohio, Hint: There is none (search mode)
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Author Topic: Romney's path without Ohio, Hint: There is none  (Read 2583 times)
Politico
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« on: October 03, 2012, 12:36:18 PM »
« edited: October 03, 2012, 12:50:56 PM by Politico »

If OH is out of reach with two weeks to go, you quietly draw down and go for broke in FL, VA, NH, CO and WI. Hedge WI by trying to pull NV AND IA (you would need both if you lose WI; maybe you win FL, VA, CO and WI but lose NH--in that case, you can still win with IA or NV).

Gore pulled out of OH with two weeks to go, and almost pulled it off (flip FL, TN or NH, and he would have won).

There is no realistic path for Romney if he loses FL. Romney has to flip NC and FL (IN, too, but it appears locked up already). It's tough without OH or VA, but it can be done so long as he wins one of the two (since winning one of these two almost surely implies winning NC and FL).
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Politico
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Posts: 4,862
« Reply #1 on: October 04, 2012, 02:21:21 AM »

If Romney wins McCain 2008 states+Indiana, Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina, and Florida,  he still loses to Obama, 273-265.

Add New Hampshire to that, you get an EC tie at 269.

You forgot NE-2, which gets Romney to 270 (GOP House would push him into the White House even if we wound up with 269)
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