TML
Junior Chimp
Posts: 5,498
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« on: May 09, 2024, 11:28:49 PM » |
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Remember that in 2020, Democrats greatly reduced in-person campaigning due to the pandemic while Republicans mostly maintained their usual levels of in-person campaigning, and that was an important factor in Republicans overperforming/Democrats underperforming polls (for example, 538's final NPV polling average as of Election Day was D+8.4, while the actual NPV result was D+4.5). If this logic were applied to a hypothetically imprisoned Trump, it should be obvious which side would benefit more.
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