FL (Susquehanna): Trump +5 (user search)
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  FL (Susquehanna): Trump +5 (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL (Susquehanna): Trump +5  (Read 3026 times)
TML
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 5,518
« on: October 27, 2020, 12:20:19 PM »
As a general rule, be skeptical of any FL poll which shows either candidate leading by more than 2 points.
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TML
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,518
« Reply #1 on: October 27, 2020, 01:16:02 PM »
Quote from: emailking on October 27, 2020, 12:24:58 PM
Quote from: TML on October 27, 2020, 12:20:19 PM
As a general rule, be skeptical of any FL poll which shows either candidate leading by more than 2 points.

That doesn't make any sense. Being ahead by 5 is within the margin of error of being ahead by 2. Even if we could agree the margin is restricted within 4 points, there will regularly be polls outside of that range just statistically.

Most statewide races in FL during the 2010s were decided by less than 2 points. This means that FL is mostly immune to national trends.
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