How did ME-02 become Likely R seemingly overnight? Didn't Obama win it handily in '08 and '12? Is it going to stay Likely R even come 2024, or do you all think Trump's brand of politics is just uniquely suited to the district?
Trump won northern Maine by virtue of his economic populism during the 2016 campaign. In 2018, Mills only lost this district by about 3 points while winning statewide by 7 points. For 2020, I would want to see polling specific to this district before deciding which side is favored here.