Hell, just look at Massachusetts and Vermont, people. What in the hell makes you think it's so impossible that a state that is solidly one party in presidential elections might swing sharply the other way in gubernatorial elections? This has never been the case before, and I'll be stunned if it suddenly changes in Kentucky (which has done this for a LONG time), in a year that will likely favor Democratic turnout, with the least popular governor in the country on the ballot.
It's even more idiotic if you think Edwards has a chance in Louisiana and/or Hood has a chance in Mississippi but not Beshear in Kentucky. There is absolutely no logical reason to believe those two can win but not Beshear.
Speaking of turnout, if you look at turnout reports for KY elections on their elections website, you will notice that in pretty much every election, turnout among Democrats is higher than among Republicans in terms of raw number of voters, but that hasn't prevented Republican victories (sometimes blowouts) by virtue of many Democratic voters voting Republican, especially for high-level offices. For example, in Knott County in 2015, turnout was 2647D-246R-37O, but the actual vote totals at the gubernatorial level were 1612R-1141D-132O. This is a clear indication that high turnout among Democrats won't favor them if many of them are voting Republican (in the example I mentioned, it's clear that the majority of Democratic voters who turned out ended up voting for the Republican gubernatorial candidate).
