Is Florida turning in to a Tilt D swing state

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Isn't Cuban American voters are voting more and more Democratic?

It is true that younger Cuban American voters tend to favor Democrats more. However, an analysis of the Cuban American vote in 2016 revealed that it was far from the decisive factor in Trump's win in FL - in fact, even just winning the Cuban American vote by 5 points or less wouldn't have been enough for Hillary to win statewide.

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Democrats don't need FL to win the election.

This may be true, but if they don't carry FL, they don't have much breathing room elsewhere to compensate for it.

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The future of the GOP looks a lot like this fast-growing community in Florida

https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2018/06/18/florida-senior-citizens-vote-election-2018-218758

Wow, Senior Citizens make up the R base in Florida National Politics?! WOAH!

To be honest, this article is well constructed but tells a story we all(hopefully all, we are on a political forum) know. Latinos, especially Cuban Americans, are moving to the Democratic party up and down the ballot, while retirees are moving into the state, keeping it a tossup. Florida appears to be a state that will be in limbo for some time, as the flow has been constant on both sides. There is no growing metropolis like Phoenix to finally tip the balance, nor is there a rural shift that can occur like in the Rust Belt. Turnout is the only way to win in Florida.

According to an analysis by a prominent Democratic strategist in FL, both turnout and managing margins are needed to get a Democratic victory. This can be seen by the decisive factors in the (narrow) Democratic losses this decade:

2010: Insufficient turnout in Democratic base counties
2014: Increased Republican margins in Northern FL
2016: Increased Republican margins in suburban/exurban counties surrounding I-4 corridor