TML
Junior Chimp
Posts: 5,521
|
 |
« on: February 28, 2018, 02:20:41 AM » |
|
I didn't think she would lose until some time after the polls had closed. I initially saw that she was down in Florida and North Carolina, but I also knew that those were two states which she could afford to lose. I also saw that she was down early in Virginia but then I saw an article by the NY Times stating that it was not unusual for the Democratic candidate to initially trail in VA shortly after polls close, even when the final result is a Democratic win. Then, when I initially went to bed around 9:30 pm, I saw several developments which really set off alarm bells:
-The NY Times election forecast started to favor Trump, and was progressively moving in Trump's direction.
-NYT was also predicting Trump as the expected winner of Michigan, which I never seriously considered to be plausible in the days and months leading up to Election Day.
At that point, I couldn't bear continuing to follow the election live, so I drifted off to sleep. I then briefly woke about two hours later, only to find that Wisconsin had been marked red on Wikipedia (another development I never expected) and that the NY Times forecast needle had moved all the way to the right. That was when I realized that the outcome of the election was all but guaranteed to be the opposite of what I had been expecting.
|
