Why is everyone assuming Trump will win FL in 2020? (user search)
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  Why is everyone assuming Trump will win FL in 2020? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Why is everyone assuming Trump will win FL in 2020?  (Read 2525 times)
TML
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 5,530
« on: September 03, 2017, 11:30:43 PM »
Election results from 1996 onward indicate that Florida has been won by the Democratic candidate if the national PV margin is D+3 or more, and by the Republican candidate if it is less than that. So, FL would be considered lean R if the national PV margin were about even.
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