AZ-SEN: Sinema only Leads Arpaio (spoilers: and Ward and McSally)

[Webnicz]

Award winning trolling

cant wait to hear the " +6 on mcsally actually indicates mcsally is winning/will win" talking points soon.

AZ might be a likelier pickup than NV at this point lmao

I've been saying this for a while now. Sinema has way more money than Rosen and isnt running against an incumbent.

[Webnicz]

the AZGOP has stood by arpaio despite his serious controversies for two decades, Im a bit shocked theyre giving him the finger in the polls, I look forward to see how he does on election night, primarily with voters who dont really keep up with news and vote based on name recognition.


Also have heard from AZ based politicos that ads tieing Arpaio to Ducey will come out which will destroy Ducey's image among independents. He did after all refer to him as "my friend"

[Webnicz]

OH MY GOD.

This is VA-Sen 2008 all over again if Arpaio is the nominee if this pollster is reputable.

I don't think Arpaio will be the nominee however he can still win Maricopa by a few points.
-OH is a republican pollster so a bit surprised they released this.
-OH/ABC15 released a poll back in January that had ward at 25 and McSally at 31 and Arpaio in the middle at 29. I think this poll shows that Ward is picking off the Arpaio votes
-Also in terms of credibility, I am going to say this pollster is most credible in terms of trends because they are the only pollster to have polled the race more than once (3 times, their first showed McSally loosing to Ward in a head to head match up by 8 points as would be expected)

[Webnicz]

So it's definitive. McSally is the Republican senate candidate who has the best chance to defeat Kyrsten Sinema.

*But still looses