Is AZ a realistic pickup for Dems without a strong third party? (user search)
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  Is AZ a realistic pickup for Dems without a strong third party? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Is it?
#1
Yes, if Trump is unpopular
 
#2
It's possible, but not likely
 
#3
No, it's solid Trump
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 100

Author Topic: Is AZ a realistic pickup for Dems without a strong third party?  (Read 1839 times)
Webnicz
Jr. Member
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Posts: 498
United States


« on: June 25, 2017, 04:31:19 PM »

Let's remember that the The dems came closer in AZ than in NC...with A LOT less resources. It was more of a battleground state than OH (by a lot) yet was given zero press coverage on election night. Let's also remember AZ was the third to last state to be called, 3 days after the election and I didn't hear any of CNN's pundits mention Arizona once on election night, they spent more time taking about OH which wasn't even a battleground.

If Clinton and company put the resources they had in OH into AZ instead it could have gotten interesting especially since Clinton had appeal with suburban voters as seen in Orange County. If dems target the east valley (CD6 area) they can win.
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Webnicz
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 498
United States


« Reply #1 on: June 25, 2017, 04:37:47 PM »

AZ is a realistic pickup for a Dem Pres in 2020, regardless of 3rd Party Votes.

Let's face it, HRC almost won the State despite her massive unfav ratings...

It would be difficult to envision a generic Dem performing worse against Trump in 2020 than HRC in '16.

Clinton was only about a half point higher than Obama--the margin was only closer because of the large third party vote.

Trump received 3 thousand less votes than Romney in maricopa county. Clinton received 100k more votes than Obama.
That's a heavy needle mover
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Webnicz
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 498
United States


« Reply #2 on: June 29, 2017, 09:31:18 PM »

story about how Adrian fonts plans to move Maricopa county into the direction of vote by mail election. I was able to test out the new system and was very impressed - ages different than when they had those 4 hour long lines. Also you can now vote in any  Precinct(wow)!!!

This could really sway a statewide election

http://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2017/06/27/maricopa-county-elections-all-mail-voting-ballot-centers/402191001/

though it does have to be approved I could see opposition from the AZGOP for the same reasons the MTGOP proposed - partisan hackery nonsense.
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