French Legislative Election 2017

[Kamala]

I remember when EM was first announced, it was "a movement, not a political party." Is that still the case or has it transitioned into being a formal party? Is there even a legal difference, if so, what is it?

To me, EM just feels like UDI in newer, sexier clothing.

[Kamala]

Is it possible UDI will work with EM! instead of LR?

[Kamala]

What about Ségolène Royal? She voted for Macron in round 1 - might she join "the movement" as well?

[Kamala]

Elabe projection

LREM: 32.6%
LR: 20.9%
FN: 13.1%
FI: 11%
PS: 9%

Seats
LREM: 415-445
LR: 80-100
PS: 30-40
FI: 10-20
FN: 1-4

Absolutely glorious.

[Kamala]

LREM/MoDem: leading in 449 constituencies, will be in the runoff in 513 constituencies.
LR/UDI/DVD: leading in 67 constituencies, will be in the runoff in 300 constituencies.
FN: leading in 20 constituencies, will be in the runoff in 118 constituencies.
PS/EELV/DVG: leading in 27 constituencies, will be in the runoff in 73 constituencies.
FI/PCF: leading in 8 constituencies, will be in the runoff in 69 constituencies.

I think all EELV candidates were eliminated in the first round, which has got to be apocalyptic for the party. Any counter-examples?

Doubs 2nd

[Kamala]

Does anyone know if the "regular folk" candidates of LREM did better than LREM's professional politician candidates?

[Kamala]

PCF won't make a parliamentary group with FI. The FI-PCF split is 16-11 rather than 17-10 as indicated by Ministere de l'Interieur (they labelled a PCF as FI). PCF claim to have got 4 Outre-mer MPs to get the 15 required for a group.

Probably Bello (La Réunion 2), Azérot (Martinique 2), Nilor (Martinique 4) and Serville (Guyane 1).

There are 3 Corse Nationalists too.

They're pro-EU, contrary to the PCF's positions.

[Kamala]

Parliamentary groups have been finalised; The UDI-Constructifs group has 38 members. The PC has formed the Democratic and Republican Left group with Martinician, Réunionese, and Guianese deputies.

Is there a reason why MoDem has its own group and not part of REM's group? Also, does anyone know if the EELV deputy joined the Socialist group or is a non-inscrite?