Republicans in Southern Legislatures -Are They Maxed-Out? (user search)
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  Republicans in Southern Legislatures -Are They Maxed-Out? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: In which of these southern states do you think Republicans are 'maxed out' in their legislatures?
#1
South Carolina
 
#2
Georgia
 
#3
Alabama
 
#4
Mississippi
 
#5
Florida
 
#6
Louisiana
 
#7
Texas
 
#8
Oklahoma
 
#9
Arkansas
 
#10
Missouri
 
#11
Tennessee
 
#12
Kentucky
 
#13
West Virginia
 
#14
North Carolina
 
#15
Virginia
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 29

Calculate results by number of options selected
Author Topic: Republicans in Southern Legislatures -Are They Maxed-Out?  (Read 1987 times)
Former President tack50
tack50
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« on: March 19, 2020, 05:31:11 AM »
« edited: March 19, 2020, 10:00:36 AM by Senator tack50 (Lab-Lincoln) »

Actually Yellowhammer is right in that the VRA actually slightly raises the number of Dems elected (or at best it has no net effect). Here is a very quick state senate map I have drawn without looking at race:

https://davesredistricting.org/join/9be7ca5b-dd6b-4762-a8fa-1fa4e8d65a1d



That map, in terms of PVI has 6 Dem districts and 29 Rep districts. In terms of actual votes (2012/2016 composite) it has 7 Dem districts and 28 Rep districts.

Or in terms of Safe/Lean/Tossup; using safe for 55%+; likely for 54-53%; lean for 52-51% and tossup for 50%:

Safe D: 5
Likely D: 1
Lean D: 0
Tossup: 1
Lean R: 1
Likely R: 0
Safe R: 27

The Safe D are in Birmingham (2), Montgomery (1), the Black Belt (1) and Mobile (1). All black majority. The Lean D district is the rural district to the southwest of Tuscaloosa. The Tossup district is the Tuscaloosa district. The Lean R district is the Huntsville district. (all white majority)

Considering the RL numbers are 27-8; this map is actually a bit more unfavourable to the Democrats than the RL map, though not by much.

Also, the 19th district in my map is unintentionally hilarious. It is a White majority district (50.7% white) that actually leans Democratic lol (54-46). If looking at total population it does become plurality black though (49.6% black, 48.6% white, 1% hispanic)

Does someone have any idea how I somehow made such a district? I didn't even try to do it like that! (of course in practice such a district would elect a Black Democrat, or possibly a white Republican in a wave).
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